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US GDP Per Capita (Current US$) climbed to 90,026.52 USD in December 2025, up 3,856.85 USD from November's 86,169.66 USD reading.
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.50 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.45 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.40 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.35 | COMMODITIES | Moves against | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
GDP Per Capita (Current US$) (United States) was reported at 90,026.52 USD in December 2025. The reading rose from the previous value of 86,169.66 USD. This is classified as a medium-impact indicator released on a yearly basis.
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 86,260.99 USD, up from the prior three at 70,126.08 USD. In December readings over the past 3 years, GDP Per Capita (Current US$) has averaged 86,260.99 USD.
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with S&P 500 (Bullish Stocks). A secondary relationship exists with EUR/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish EUR).
Same-country events in the next 14 days include S&P Global Composite PMI (Oct 23) and S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (Oct 23).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update December 2025.
US GDP Per Capita (Current US$) reached 90026.516301 in 2025, up from 86169.664158 in 2024, marking a clear upward trend. This increase from 2024 to 2025 reflects continued economic growth in per capita terms. Market focus will remain on upcoming GDP components and inflation data for further clarity. Updated 7/1/26
Aggregate growth figures anchor cyclical positioning across asset classes and inform fiscal and monetary policy debate. Surprises against consensus can drive short-term moves, particularly when the print breaks an established trend. Released annually.
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with S&P 500 (Bullish Stocks, r=0.50) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.
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| Thursday, October 22, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12:30 | Jobless Claims 4-Week Average | 197.75 | 198.75 | 200 | 198.88 | High | |
| 12:30 | Continuing Jobless Claims | 1728 | 1703 | 1720 | 1724.00 | High | |
| 12:30 | Initial Jobless Claims | 194 | 200 | 200 | 197.00 | High | |
| 14:00 | Leading Index MoM | 0 | -0.1 | -0.1 | -0.05 | Low | |
| 14:30 | EIA Natural Gas Stocks Change | 77 | 67 | 79 | 78.00 | Low | |
| 15:00 | Kansas Fed Composite Index | 11 | 14 | 11 | 11.00 | Low | |
| 15:00 | Kansas Fed Manufacturing Index | 16 | 20 | 18 | 17.00 | Low | |
| Friday, October 23, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 13:45 | S&P Global Composite PMI | 58.4 | 57.6 | 58.25 | Medium | ||
| 13:45 | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI | 55.9 | 55.5 | 55.25 | Medium | ||
| 13:45 | S&P Global Services PMI | 58.8 | 58 | 59.05 | Medium | ||
| 14:00 | Michigan Consumer Sentiment | 48.1 | 47.6 | 47.60 | High | ||
| 14:00 | Michigan Current Conditions | 50.9 | 50.5 | 50.50 | Low | ||
| 14:00 | Michigan Consumer Expectations | 46.3 | 45.9 | 45.90 | Low | ||
| 14:00 | Michigan 5 Year Inflation Expectations | 3.4 | 3.5 | 3.50 | Low | ||
| 14:00 | Michigan 1 Year Inflation Expectations | 4.6 | 4.7 | 4.70 | Low | ||
| Monday, October 26, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:30 | Chicago Fed National Activity Index | -0.04 | -0.1 | -0.10 | Medium | ||
| 14:30 | Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index | 9.8 | 7 | 8.15 | Medium | ||
| 15:30 | 3-Month Bill Auction | 4.095 | 4.009 | 4.01 | Low | ||
| Tuesday, October 27, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:00 | Building Permits MoM | -2.1 | -0.7 | -0.50 | Medium | ||
| 12:00 | Building Permits | 1.403 | 1.39 | 1.39 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | Non Defense Goods Orders Ex Air | 1.6 | 0.4 | 0.45 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | Durable Goods Orders Ex Defense MoM | 0.1 | 0 | -0.85 | High | ||
| 12:30 | Durable Goods Orders MoM | -0.1 | 0.6 | -0.50 | High | ||
| 12:30 | Durable Goods Orders Ex Transp MoM | 0.3 | -0.1 | -0.20 | High | ||
| 13:00 | S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price YoY | 2.5 | 2.9 | 3.05 | Medium | ||
| 13:00 | House Price Index | 443.5 | 444.4 | 444.90 | Low | ||
| 13:00 | House Price Index YoY | 2.6 | 2.1 | 2.30 | Low | ||
| 13:00 | House Price Index MoM | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.25 | Low | ||
| 13:00 | S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price MoM | 0 | -0.1 | 0.05 | Low | ||
| 14:00 | Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index | -2 | -3 | -5.50 | Low | ||
| 14:00 | Richmond Fed Services Index | 0 | -2 | -2.50 | Low | ||