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Data from U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
United StatesUS GDP Sales QoQ Adv climbed to 3.5% in Q3 2023
U.S. Bureau of Economic AnalysisQuarterlyReleased October 2023
US GDP Sales QoQ Adv climbed to 3.5% in Q3 2023, released October 2023, up 1.4% from June's 2.1% reading. The reading missed the 4.5% consensus by 1.0%. The print is running well above the 12-month average of 1.59%. GDP Sales QoQ Adv is now the highest in 24 months.
Latest Release
3.5
Actual
4.5
Consensus
2.1
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±1 percentage points
across last 3 releases
Last Call
Oct 2023
Predicted: 4.5
Actual: 3.5
Error: +1
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.50 | INDEX | Bullish Stocks | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.45 | FOREX | Bearish EUR | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.40 | FOREX | Bullish USD | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.35 | COMMODITIES | Bearish Gold | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Watch | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
GDP Sales QoQ Adv (United States) was reported at 2% in July 2024. The reading rose from the previous value of 1.8%.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 2.4%, down from the prior three at 3.07%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with S&P 500 (Bullish Stocks). A secondary relationship exists with EUR/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish EUR).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include NAHB Housing Market Index (Jun 15) and Building Permits MoM (Jun 16).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update July 2024.
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GDP Sales QoQ Adv - US
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About GDP Sales QoQ Adv — United States
DEFINITION
GDP Sales QoQ Adv is a key financial indicator that measures the change in a country's gross domestic product (GDP) from one quarter to the next. This metric provides valuable insights into the overall economic health and growth of a nation, as it reflects the total value of goods and services produced within its borders. A positive QoQ (quarter-over-quarter) advancement in GDP sales indicates a strong and expanding economy, while a negative change may signal a slowdown or recession. As such, GDP Sales QoQ Adv is closely monitored by investors, policymakers, and businesses to make informed decisions and forecasts.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Aggregate growth figures anchor cyclical positioning across asset classes and inform fiscal and monetary policy debate. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released quarterly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Apr 2024): actual 2 %. Prior reading (Jan 2024): 2 %. Before that (Oct 2023): 3.2 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially lower reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with S&P 500 (Bullish Stocks, r=0.50) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.