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Data from World Bank. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
United StatesUS GDP Deflator (Annual %) fell to 2.48 Percent in December 2024
World BankYearlyReleased December 2024
US GDP Deflator (Annual %) fell to 2.48 Percent in December 2024, down 1.12 Percent from November's 3.6 Percent reading.
Latest Release
2.482725
Actual
—
Consensus
3.598391
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | FOREX | Watch | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | COMMODITIES | Watch | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | INDEX | Watch | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Watch | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | FOREX | Watch | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
GDP Deflator (Annual %) (United States) was reported at 2.48 Percent in December 2024. The reading fell from the previous value of 3.60 Percent. This is classified as a medium-impact indicator released on a yearly basis.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include NY Empire State Manufacturing Index (Jun 15) and Industrial Production MoM (Jun 15).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update December 2024.
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GDP Deflator (Annual %) - US
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About GDP Deflator (Annual %) — United States
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Inflation prints feed directly into central-bank policy expectations and real-yield calculations, and are among the most rate-sensitive releases on the calendar. Surprises against consensus can drive short-term moves, particularly when the print breaks an established trend. Released annually.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a higher reading versus the latest print. Current dynamics are the primary tailwind in the projection.
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Economic Calendar - US Events
| Monday, June 15, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12:30 | US | NY Empire State Manufacturing Index | 19.6 | 13.2 | 11.50 | Medium | |
| 13:15 | US | Industrial Production MoM | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.25 | Medium | |
| 13:15 | US | Capacity Utilization | 76.1 | 76.2 | 76.25 | Low | |
| 13:15 | US | Industrial Production YoY | 1.4 | 1.9 | 1.55 | Low | |
| 13:15 | US | Manufacturing Production MoM | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.35 | Low | |
| 13:15 | US | Manufacturing Production YoY | 1.3 | 1.7 | 1.35 | Low | |
| 14:00 | US | NAHB Housing Market Index | 37 | 37 | 37.50 | Medium | |
| Tuesday, June 16, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:30 | US | Building Permits MoM | 4.4 | -0.6 | -0.60 | Medium | |
| 12:30 | US | Building Permits | 1.423 | 1.41 | 1.41 | High | |
| 12:30 | US | Import Prices YoY | 4.2 | 6 | 6.00 | Low | |
| 12:30 | US | Housing Starts MoM | -2.8 | -2 | -2.00 | Medium | |
| 12:30 | US | Housing Starts | 1.465 | 1.44 | 1.44 | High | |
| 12:30 | US | Export Prices YoY | 8.8 | 11.9 | 11.90 | Low | |
| 12:30 | US | Import Prices MoM | 1.9 | 0.9 | 0.90 | Medium | |
| 12:30 | US | Export Prices MoM | 3.3 | 2.1 | 2.10 | Medium | |
| Wednesday, June 17, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:30 | US | Retail Sales MoM | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.50 | High | |
| 12:30 | US | Retail Sales Ex Gas/Autos MoM | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.50 | Low | |
| 12:30 | US | Retail Sales YoY | 4.9 | 4 | 4.00 | Low | |
| 12:30 | US | Retail Sales Ex Autos MoM | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.50 | Medium | |
| 14:00 | US | Business Inventories MoM | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.50 | Medium | |
| 14:00 | US | Pending Home Sales YoY | 3.2 | 1.5 | 2.00 | Medium | |
| 14:00 | US | Pending Home Sales MoM | 1.4 | 1.3 | 2.45 | Medium | |
| 14:00 | US | Retail Inventories Ex Autos MoM | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.60 | Low | |
| 18:00 | US | Fed Interest Rate Decision | 3.75 | 3.75 | 3.75 | High | |
| Thursday, June 18, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:30 | US | Continuing Jobless Claims | 1795 | 1790 | 1790.00 | Low | |
| 12:30 | US | Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index | -0.4 | 10 | 10.00 | Medium | |
| 12:30 | US | Jobless Claims 4-Week Average | 219 | 223 | 223.00 | Low | |