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US GDP Growth Rate QoQ Adv climbed to 2.8 in April 2024, released July 2024, up 1.4 from March's 1.4 reading. The print exceeded the 2.0 consensus by 0.8. The print is running well above the 12-month average of 2.66.
across last 12 releases
Jul 2024
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.50 | INDEX | Bullish Stocks | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.45 | FOREX | Bearish EUR | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.40 | FOREX | Bullish USD | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.35 | COMMODITIES | Bearish Gold | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Watch | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
The July 2024 reading rose from the previous value of 1.4. Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmanomics model has produced a median absolute forecast error of ±0.85. Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with S&P 500 (Bullish Stocks) and negatively correlated with EUR/USD (Bearish EUR).
Multi-horizon symbol forecasts, Rolling-Surprise economic predictions, and programmatic API access.
Expected Zones · Trade Bias · Confidence Intervals · API Access · 1,456+ instruments
| Friday, May 15, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12:30 | NY Empire State Manufacturing Index | 19.6 | 11 | 7.5 | 11.55 | Medium | |
| 13:15 | Industrial Production MoM | 0.7 | -0.3 | 0.3 | 0.45 | Medium | |
| 13:15 | Capacity Utilization | 76.1 | 75.7 | 75.8 | 75.82 | Low | |
| 13:15 | Manufacturing Production YoY | 1.3 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.75 | Low | |
| 13:15 | Manufacturing Production MoM | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.28 | Low | |
| 13:15 | Industrial Production YoY | 1.4 | 0.76 | 0.4 | 0.75 | Low | |
| Monday, May 18, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 14:00 | NAHB Housing Market Index | 34 | 34 | 31.50 | Medium | ||
| Tuesday, May 19, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 14:00 | Pending Home Sales MoM | 1.5 | 1.6 | 1.60 | Medium | ||
| 14:00 | Pending Home Sales YoY | -1.1 | -0.5 | -0.50 | Medium | ||