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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
United StatesUS CB Consumer Confidence fell to 93.1 in May 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased May 2026
US CB Consumer Confidence fell to 93.1 in May 2026, down 0.7 from April's 93.8 reading. The reading matched the 91.9 consensus. CB Consumer Confidence has now risen for 4 consecutive months. Over the past 3 months, CB Consumer Confidence averaged 92.3, vs 89 in the prior 3-month window. CB Consumer Confidence is now the highest in 6 months.
Latest Release
93.1
Actual
91.9
Consensus
93.8
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±3.49
across last 12 releases
Last Call
May 2026
Predicted: 93.8
Actual: 93.1
Error: +0.7
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USD/CHF | ▲ Direct | +0.74 | FOREX | Bullish USD | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.66 | FOREX | Bullish USD | → View |
| NZD/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.63 | FOREX | Bearish NZD | → View |
| GBP/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.62 | FOREX | Bearish GBP | → View |
| USD/CAD | ▲ Direct | +0.45 | FOREX | Bullish USD | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
CB Consumer Confidence (United States) was reported at 93.10 in May 2026. This beat the market consensus of 91.90 by 1.20. The reading fell from the previous value of 93.80. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through May 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 92.25, ranging from 84.50 to 97.40 across 11 releases. This is classified as a high-impact indicator released on a monthly basis.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 92.03, up from the prior three at 87.43. Volatility over the past year (σ 3.64) is lower than the prior year (σ 6.54). In May readings over the past 3 years, CB Consumer Confidence has averaged 97.70.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with USD/CHF (Bullish USD). A secondary relationship exists with USD/JPY, positively correlated (Bullish USD). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 3.49.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for June 30, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include NY Empire State Manufacturing Index (Jun 15) and Industrial Production MoM (Jun 15).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update May 2026.
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CB Consumer Confidence - US
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About CB Consumer Confidence — United States
DEFINITION
CB Consumer Confidence is a widely recognized financial indicator that measures the level of optimism or pessimism among consumers about the state of the economy. It is based on a monthly survey of thousands of households, providing valuable insights into consumer spending habits and overall economic trends. This indicator is closely monitored by investors, businesses, and policymakers as it can impact consumer behavior and influence market trends. A high CB Consumer Confidence reading indicates a positive outlook on the economy, while a low reading may suggest a more cautious approach to spending.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Sentiment surveys are forward-looking inputs that often lead hard data on output and hiring. Sharp swings can drive cross-asset repricing. Surprises against consensus can drive short-term moves, particularly when the print breaks an established trend. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (May 2026): actual 93.1, consensus 91.9. Prior reading (Apr 2026): 92.8. Before that (Mar 2026): 91.8.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with USD/CHF (Bullish USD, r=0.74) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.