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US CB Consumer Confidence climbed to 92.8 in April 2026, up 0.6 from March's 92.2 reading. The reading matched the 89 consensus. CB Consumer Confidence has now risen for 3 consecutive months. Over the past 3 months, CB Consumer Confidence averaged 91.4, vs 87.43 in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 30th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
across last 12 releases
Mar 2026
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USD/CHF | ▲ Direct | +0.84 | FOREX | Bullish USD | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.80 | FOREX | Bullish USD | → View |
| GBP/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.74 | FOREX | Bearish GBP | → View |
| NZD/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.71 | FOREX | Bearish NZD | → View |
| USD/CAD | ▲ Direct | +0.65 | FOREX | Bullish USD | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
The April 2026 reading rose from the previous value of 92.2. Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmanomics model has produced a median absolute forecast error of ±3.49. Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with USD/CHF (Bullish USD) and positively correlated with USD/JPY (Bullish USD).
Multi-horizon symbol forecasts, Rolling-Surprise economic predictions, and programmatic API access.
Expected Zones · Trade Bias · Confidence Intervals · API Access · 1,456+ instruments
| Thursday, May 14, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12:30 | Retail Sales Ex Autos MoM | 0.7 | 1.9 | 0.6 | 0.65 | Medium | |
| 12:30 | Initial Jobless Claims | 211 | 199 | 205 | 208.00 | Medium | |
| 12:30 | Continuing Jobless Claims | 1782 | 1758 | 1790 | 1786.00 | Low | |
| 12:30 | Export Prices YoY | 8.8 | 5.4 | 6.6 | 7.70 | Low | |
| 12:30 | Import Prices MoM | 1.9 | 0.9 | 1 | 1.45 | Medium | |
| 12:30 | Retail Sales MoM | 0.5 | 1.6 | 0.5 | 0.50 | High | |
| 12:30 | Import Prices YoY | 4.2 | 2.3 | 2.9 | 3.55 | Low | |
| 12:30 | Export Prices MoM | 3.3 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 2.20 | Medium | |
| 12:30 | Retail Sales Ex Gas/Autos MoM | 0.5 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.30 | Low | |
| 12:30 | Jobless Claims 4-Week Average | 203.75 | 203 | 203.5 | 203.63 | Low | |
| 12:30 | Retail Sales YoY | 4.9 | 4.2 | 3.3 | 4.10 | Low | |
| 14:00 | Business Inventories MoM | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 0.85 | Medium | |
| 14:00 | Retail Inventories Ex Autos MoM | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.45 | Low | |
| 14:30 | EIA Natural Gas Stocks Change | 85 | 63 | 85 | 85.00 | Low | |
| 15:30 | Atlanta Fed GDPNow | 4 | 3.7 | 3.7 | 3.85 | Medium | |
| Friday, May 15, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:30 | NY Empire State Manufacturing Index | 19.6 | 11 | 7.5 | 11.55 | Medium | |
| 13:15 | Industrial Production MoM | 0.7 | -0.3 | 0.3 | 0.50 | Medium | |
| 13:15 | Capacity Utilization | 76.1 | 75.7 | 75.8 | 75.95 | Low | |
| 13:15 | Manufacturing Production MoM | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.40 | Low | |
| 13:15 | Manufacturing Production YoY | 1.3 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.75 | Low | |
| 13:15 | Industrial Production YoY | 1.4 | 0.76 | 0.4 | 0.90 | Low | |
| Monday, May 18, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 14:00 | NAHB Housing Market Index | 34 | 34 | 31.50 | Medium | ||