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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
United StatesUS CB Consumer Confidence fell to 89.4 in August 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased August 2026
US CB Consumer Confidence fell to 89.4 in August 2026, down 0.8 from July's 90.2 reading. The reading matched the 90.2 consensus. CB Consumer Confidence has now declined for 4 consecutive months. Over the past 3 months, CB Consumer Confidence averaged 91, vs 92.57 in the prior 3-month window. CB Consumer Confidence is now the lowest in 6 months.
Latest Release
89.4
Actual
90.2
Consensus
90.2
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±2.53
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Aug 2026
Predicted: 89
Actual: 89.4
Error: -0.4
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NZD/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.65 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| USD/CAD | ▲ Direct | +0.62 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| USD/CHF | ▲ Direct | +0.59 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.58 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| GBP/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.56 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
CB Consumer Confidence (United States) was reported at 89.40 in August 2026. This missed the market consensus of 90.20 by 0.80. The reading fell from the previous value of 90.20. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through August 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 90.78, ranging from 84.50 to 94.60 across 11 releases. This is classified as a high-impact indicator released on a monthly basis.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending downward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 90.47, down from the prior three at 92.03. Volatility over the past year (σ 2.72) is lower than the prior year (σ 6.85). In August readings over the past 3 years, CB Consumer Confidence has averaged 96.70.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with NZD/USD (Bearish NZD). A secondary relationship exists with USD/CAD, positively correlated (Bullish USD). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 2.53.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for September 29, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include NY Empire State Manufacturing Index (Sep 15) and NY Empire State Manufacturing Index (Sep 15).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update August 2026.
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CB Consumer Confidence - US
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About CB Consumer Confidence — United States
DEFINITION
CB Consumer Confidence is a widely recognized financial indicator that measures the level of optimism or pessimism among consumers about the state of the economy. It is based on a monthly survey of thousands of households, providing valuable insights into consumer spending habits and overall economic trends. This indicator is closely monitored by investors, businesses, and policymakers as it can impact consumer behavior and influence market trends. A high CB Consumer Confidence reading indicates a positive outlook on the economy, while a low reading may suggest a more cautious approach to spending.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Sentiment surveys are forward-looking inputs that often lead hard data on output and hiring. Sharp swings can drive cross-asset repricing. Surprises against consensus can drive short-term moves, particularly when the print breaks an established trend. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Aug 2026): actual 89.4, consensus 90.3. Prior reading (Jul 2026): 90.8. Before that (Jun 2026): 91.2.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with NZD/USD (Bearish NZD, r=-0.65) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.
Σ
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Economic Calendar - US Events
| Monday, September 14, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15:30 | US | 3-Month Bill Auction | 3.8 | 3.809 | 3.81 | Low | |
| Tuesday, September 15, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:30 | US | NY Empire State Manufacturing Index | 20.6 | 15 | 10.85 | High | |
| Wednesday, September 16, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:30 | US | Retail Sales MoM | -0.4 | -0.1 | -0.10 | High | |
| 12:30 | US | Retail Sales Ex Autos MoM | -0.3 | 0.5 | 0.50 | High | |
| 12:30 | US | Import Prices YoY | 5.9 | 6 | 6.35 | Low | |
| 12:30 | US | Retail Sales Ex Gas/Autos MoM | -0.2 | 0.1 | 0.10 | High | |
| 12:30 | US | Retail Sales YoY | 5 | 4.3 | 4.30 | High | |
| 12:30 | US | Export Prices MoM | -1.3 | -0.5 | -0.45 | Medium | |
| 12:30 | US | Import Prices MoM | -0.4 | 0.2 | 0.65 | Medium | |
| 12:30 | US | Export Prices YoY | 8.2 | 7.5 | 7.90 | Low | |
| 14:00 | US | Business Inventories MoM | 0 | 0.2 | 0.20 | Medium | |
| 14:00 | US | NAHB Housing Market Index | 35 | 34 | 33.50 | Medium | |
| 14:00 | US | Retail Inventories Ex Autos MoM | 0.7 | -0.5 | 0.7 | 0.70 | Low |
| 18:00 | US | Fed Interest Rate Decision | 3.75 | 4 | 4.00 | High | |
| 20:00 | US | Net Long-Term TIC Flows | 172.7 | 146.3 | 146.30 | Medium | |