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Data from FRED. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
United StatesUS Real Disposable Personal Income held to 18,122.5 Billions Chained 2017 USD in June 2026
FREDMonthlyReleased July 2026
US Real Disposable Personal Income held to 18,122.5 Billions Chained 2017 USD in June 2026, released July 2026.
Latest Release
18122.500000
Actual
—
Consensus
18122.500000
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.51 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| USD/CAD | ▼ Inverse | −0.42 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| AUD/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.32 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| USD/CHF | ▼ Inverse | −0.27 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Real Disposable Personal Income (United States) was reported at 18,122.50 Billions Chained 2017 USD in June 2026. The reading was unchanged from the previous release. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 18,067.46 Billions Chained 2017 USD, ranging from 17,938.80 Billions Chained 2017 USD to 18,183.10 Billions Chained 2017 USD across 10 releases. This is classified as a medium-impact indicator released on a monthly basis.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 18,059.07 Billions Chained 2017 USD, up from the prior three at 18,025.77 Billions Chained 2017 USD. Volatility over the past year (σ 65.78 Billions Chained 2017 USD) is lower than the prior year (σ 100.87 Billions Chained 2017 USD). In July readings over the past 3 years, Real Disposable Personal Income has averaged 17,968.87 Billions Chained 2017 USD.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with S&P 500 (Bullish S&P 500). A secondary relationship exists with USD/CAD, negatively correlated (Bearish USD).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include NY Empire State Manufacturing Index (Sep 15) and NY Empire State Manufacturing Index (Sep 15).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update July 2026.
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Real Disposable Personal Income - US
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About Real Disposable Personal Income — United States
DEFINITION
US Real Disposable Personal Income rose to 18122.5 billion USD in July, up from June’s 18054.9 billion USD. This increase marks a continuation of gradual income growth following May’s 17999.8 billion USD reading. The steady rise supports a stable consumer spending outlook amid ongoing economic adjustments. Updated 8/27/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Consumer activity accounts for the majority of GDP in advanced economies, making spending data a key cyclical signal for retail and discretionary sectors. Surprises against consensus can drive short-term moves, particularly when the print breaks an established trend. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jul 2026): actual 18,122.5 Billions Chained 2017 USD. Prior reading (Jun 2026): 18,054.9 Billions Chained 2017 USD. Before that (May 2026): 17,999.8 Billions Chained 2017 USD.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with S&P 500 (Bullish S&P 500, r=0.51) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.
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Economic Calendar - US Events
| Monday, September 14, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15:30 | US | 3-Month Bill Auction | 3.8 | 3.809 | 3.81 | Low | |
| Tuesday, September 15, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:30 | US | NY Empire State Manufacturing Index | 20.6 | 15 | 10.85 | High | |
| Wednesday, September 16, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:30 | US | Retail Sales MoM | -0.4 | -0.1 | -0.10 | High | |
| 12:30 | US | Retail Sales Ex Autos MoM | -0.3 | 0.5 | 0.50 | High | |
| 12:30 | US | Import Prices YoY | 5.9 | 6 | 6.35 | Low | |
| 12:30 | US | Retail Sales Ex Gas/Autos MoM | -0.2 | 0.1 | 0.10 | High | |
| 12:30 | US | Retail Sales YoY | 5 | 4.3 | 4.30 | High | |
| 12:30 | US | Export Prices MoM | -1.3 | -0.5 | -0.45 | Medium | |
| 12:30 | US | Import Prices MoM | -0.4 | 0.2 | 0.65 | Medium | |
| 12:30 | US | Export Prices YoY | 8.2 | 7.5 | 7.90 | Low | |
| 14:00 | US | Business Inventories MoM | 0 | 0.2 | 0.20 | Medium | |
| 14:00 | US | NAHB Housing Market Index | 35 | 34 | 33.50 | Medium | |
| 14:00 | US | Retail Inventories Ex Autos MoM | 0.7 | -0.5 | 0.7 | 0.70 | Low |
| 18:00 | US | Fed Interest Rate Decision | 3.75 | 4 | 4.00 | High | |
| 20:00 | US | Net Long-Term TIC Flows | 172.7 | 146.3 | 146.30 | Medium | |