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Data from FRED. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
United StatesUS Real Disposable Personal Income held to 18,108.7 Billions Chained 2017 USD in February 2026
FREDMonthlyReleased March 2026
US Real Disposable Personal Income held to 18,108.7 Billions Chained 2017 USD in February 2026, released March 2026.
Latest Release
18108.700000
Actual
—
Consensus
18108.700000
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AUD/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.71 | FOREX | Bullish AUD | → View |
| USD/CHF | ▼ Inverse | −0.68 | FOREX | Bearish USD | → View |
| USD/CAD | ▼ Inverse | −0.58 | FOREX | Bearish USD | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.56 | CRYPTO | Bearish BTC | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.55 | COMMODITIES | Bullish XAU | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Real Disposable Personal Income (United States) was reported at 18,108.70 Billions Chained 2017 USD in February 2026. The reading was unchanged from the previous release. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 18,082.22 Billions Chained 2017 USD, ranging from 17,962.10 Billions Chained 2017 USD to 18,183.10 Billions Chained 2017 USD across 10 releases. This is classified as a medium-impact indicator released on a monthly basis.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending downward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 18,136.90 Billions Chained 2017 USD, up from the prior three at 18,079.00 Billions Chained 2017 USD. Volatility over the past year (σ 53.68 Billions Chained 2017 USD) is lower than the prior year (σ 117.75 Billions Chained 2017 USD). In March readings over the past 3 years, Real Disposable Personal Income has averaged 17,918.27 Billions Chained 2017 USD.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with AUD/USD (Bullish AUD). A secondary relationship exists with USD/CHF, negatively correlated (Bearish USD).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include Chicago Fed National Activity Index (May 25) and Chicago Fed National Activity Index (May 26).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update March 2026.
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Real Disposable Personal Income - US
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About Real Disposable Personal Income — United States
DEFINITION
US Real Disposable Personal Income rose to 18203.200000 billion in January 2026, up from December’s 18082.400000 billion. This 1.1% month-over-month increase marks the highest level in over a year, extending gains since July 2025. Markets responded with higher equities and bond yields as consumer spending power strengthens amid ongoing inflation and wage growth concerns. Updated 4/3/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Consumer activity accounts for the majority of GDP in advanced economies, making spending data a key cyclical signal for retail and discretionary sectors. Surprises against consensus can drive short-term moves, particularly when the print breaks an established trend. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Mar 2026): actual 18,108.7 Billions Chained 2017 USD. Prior reading (Feb 2026): 18,118.9 Billions Chained 2017 USD. Before that (Jan 2026): 18,183.1 Billions Chained 2017 USD.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with AUD/USD (Bullish AUD, r=0.71) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.