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Data from FRED. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
United StatesUS Real Disposable Personal Income held to 17,983.8 Billions Chained 2017 USD in April 2026
FREDMonthlyReleased May 2026
US Real Disposable Personal Income held to 17,983.8 Billions Chained 2017 USD in April 2026, released May 2026.
Latest Release
17983.800000
Actual
—
Consensus
17983.800000
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.50 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| USD/CHF | ▼ Inverse | −0.48 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| AUD/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.48 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| USD/CAD | ▼ Inverse | −0.46 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.41 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Real Disposable Personal Income (United States) was reported at 17,983.80 Billions Chained 2017 USD in April 2026. The reading was unchanged from the previous release. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 18,065.27 Billions Chained 2017 USD, ranging from 17,938.80 Billions Chained 2017 USD to 18,183.10 Billions Chained 2017 USD across 10 releases. This is classified as a medium-impact indicator released on a monthly basis.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 17,980.73 Billions Chained 2017 USD, down from the prior three at 18,128.13 Billions Chained 2017 USD. Volatility over the past year (σ 65.79 Billions Chained 2017 USD) is lower than the prior year (σ 111.07 Billions Chained 2017 USD). In May readings over the past 3 years, Real Disposable Personal Income has averaged 17,892.67 Billions Chained 2017 USD.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with S&P 500 (Bullish S&P 500). A secondary relationship exists with USD/CHF, negatively correlated (Bearish USD).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update May 2026.
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Real Disposable Personal Income - US
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About Real Disposable Personal Income — United States
DEFINITION
US Real Disposable Personal Income for May came in at 17983.8 billion USD, up from April’s 17938.8 billion USD. This increase marks a modest rise in income levels after a slight decline in the previous months. Market participants will watch upcoming consumption data closely amid steady income growth. Updated 6/26/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Consumer activity accounts for the majority of GDP in advanced economies, making spending data a key cyclical signal for retail and discretionary sectors. Surprises against consensus can drive short-term moves, particularly when the print breaks an established trend. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (May 2026): actual 17,983.8 Billions Chained 2017 USD. Prior reading (Apr 2026): 17,938.8 Billions Chained 2017 USD. Before that (Mar 2026): 18,019.6 Billions Chained 2017 USD.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with S&P 500 (Bullish S&P 500, r=0.50) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.
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