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US Core Personal Cons. Exp QoQ held to 1.3% in Q2 2013. The reading matched the 1.3% consensus.
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.50 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.45 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.40 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.35 | COMMODITIES | Moves against | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
Core Personal Cons. Exp QoQ (United States) was reported at 1.3% in June 2013. This matched the market consensus of 1.3% exactly. The reading was unchanged from the previous release. This is classified as a medium-impact indicator released on a monthly basis.
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with S&P 500 (Bullish Stocks). A secondary relationship exists with EUR/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish EUR).
Same-country events in the next 14 days include S&P Global Composite PMI (Oct 23) and S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (Oct 23).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update June 2013.
Core Personal Consumption Expenditures Quarter over Quarter (QoQ) is a financial indicator that measures the change in consumer spending on goods and services, excluding volatile items such as food and energy. It provides insight into the overall health of the economy and consumer confidence, as well as potential inflationary pressures. This indicator is closely monitored by economists and policymakers as it reflects the underlying trends in consumer behavior and can impact monetary policy decisions.
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. Surprises against consensus can drive short-term moves, particularly when the print breaks an established trend. Released monthly.
Latest reading (Jun 2013): actual 1.3 %, consensus 1.3 %.
This indicator correlates most strongly with S&P 500 (Bullish Stocks, r=0.50) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.
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| Thursday, October 22, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12:30 | Jobless Claims 4-Week Average | 197.75 | 198.75 | 200 | 198.88 | High | |
| 12:30 | Continuing Jobless Claims | 1728 | 1703 | 1720 | 1724.00 | High | |
| 12:30 | Initial Jobless Claims | 194 | 200 | 200 | 197.00 | High | |
| 14:00 | Leading Index MoM | 0 | -0.1 | -0.1 | -0.05 | Low | |
| 14:30 | EIA Natural Gas Stocks Change | 77 | 67 | 79 | 78.00 | Low | |
| 15:00 | Kansas Fed Composite Index | 11 | 14 | 11 | 11.00 | Low | |
| 15:00 | Kansas Fed Manufacturing Index | 16 | 20 | 18 | 17.00 | Low | |
| Friday, October 23, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 13:45 | S&P Global Composite PMI | 58.4 | 57.6 | 58.25 | Medium | ||
| 13:45 | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI | 55.9 | 55.5 | 55.25 | Medium | ||
| 13:45 | S&P Global Services PMI | 58.8 | 58 | 59.05 | Medium | ||
| 14:00 | Michigan Consumer Sentiment | 48.1 | 47.6 | 47.60 | High | ||
| 14:00 | Michigan Current Conditions | 50.9 | 50.5 | 50.50 | Low | ||
| 14:00 | Michigan Consumer Expectations | 46.3 | 45.9 | 45.90 | Low | ||
| 14:00 | Michigan 5 Year Inflation Expectations | 3.4 | 3.5 | 3.50 | Low | ||
| 14:00 | Michigan 1 Year Inflation Expectations | 4.6 | 4.7 | 4.70 | Low | ||
| Monday, October 26, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:30 | Chicago Fed National Activity Index | -0.04 | -0.1 | -0.10 | Medium | ||
| 14:30 | Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index | 9.8 | 7 | 8.15 | Medium | ||
| 15:30 | 3-Month Bill Auction | 4.095 | 4.009 | 4.01 | Low | ||
| Tuesday, October 27, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:00 | Building Permits MoM | -2.1 | -0.7 | -0.50 | Medium | ||
| 12:00 | Building Permits | 1.403 | 1.39 | 1.39 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | Non Defense Goods Orders Ex Air | 1.6 | 0.4 | 0.45 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | Durable Goods Orders Ex Defense MoM | 0.1 | 0 | -0.85 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | Durable Goods Orders MoM | -0.1 | 0.6 | -0.50 | High | ||
| 12:30 | Durable Goods Orders Ex Transp MoM | 0.3 | -0.1 | -0.20 | Medium | ||
| 13:00 | S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price YoY | 2.5 | 2.9 | 3.05 | Medium | ||
| 13:00 | House Price Index | 443.5 | 444.4 | 444.90 | Low | ||
| 13:00 | House Price Index YoY | 2.6 | 2.1 | 2.30 | Low | ||
| 13:00 | House Price Index MoM | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.25 | Low | ||
| 13:00 | S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price MoM | 0 | -0.1 | 0.05 | Low | ||
| 14:00 | Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index | -2 | -3 | -5.50 | Low | ||
| 14:00 | Richmond Fed Services Index | 0 | -2 | -2.50 | Low | ||
| 14:00 | Richmond Fed Manufacturing Shipments Index | -5 | -7 | -4.00 | Low | ||
| 14:00 | New Home Sales | 0.684 | 0.66 | -0.24 | Medium | ||
| 14:00 | New Home Sales MoM | 6.4 | -3.5 | -3.50 | Medium | ||
| 14:30 | Dallas Fed Services Revenues Index | -0.9 | -2 | -1.25 | Low | ||
| 14:30 | Dallas Fed Services Index | -1.8 | -3 | -0.70 | Low | ||
| 17:00 | Money Supply | 23.34 | 23.4 | 23.57 | Low | ||