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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
United StatesUS Personal Consumption Expenditure YoY climbed to 2.1% in May 2013
FMPMonthlyReleased May 2013
US Personal Consumption Expenditure YoY climbed to 2.1% in May 2013, up 0.3% from April's 1.8% reading.
Latest Release
2.100000
Actual
—
Consensus
1.800000
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.50 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.45 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.40 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.35 | COMMODITIES | Moves against | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Personal Consumption Expenditure YoY (United States) was reported at 2.1% in May 2013. The reading rose from the previous value of 1.8%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with S&P 500 (Bullish Stocks). A secondary relationship exists with EUR/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish EUR).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include MBA 30-Year Mortgage Rate (Sep 16) and Retail Sales MoM (Sep 16).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update May 2013.
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Personal Consumption Expenditure YoY - US
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About Personal Consumption Expenditure YoY — United States
DEFINITION
Personal Consumption Expenditure YoY is a financial indicator that measures the year-over-year change in the amount of money spent by individuals on goods and services. It is a key metric for assessing the health of consumer spending, which is a major driver of economic growth. This indicator provides valuable insights into consumer behavior and can help inform decisions related to investments, business strategies, and monetary policy.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (May 2013): actual 2.1 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
This indicator correlates most strongly with S&P 500 (Bullish Stocks, r=0.50) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.
Σ
EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - US Events
| Tuesday, September 15, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12:30 | US | NY Empire State Manufacturing Index | 7.6 | 20.6 | 14.75 | 11.18 | High |
| 20:30 | US | API Crude Oil Stock Change | 7.14 | -0.3 | -1.8 | 2.67 | Medium |
| 21:00 | US | API Crude Oil Stock Change | 7.14 | -0.3 | -1.8 | 2.67 | Medium |
| Wednesday, September 16, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:30 | US | Retail Sales MoM | -0.6 | 0.8 | 1.00 | High | |
| 12:30 | US | Retail Sales Ex Autos MoM | -0.3 | 0.5 | 0.65 | High | |
| 12:30 | US | Import Prices YoY | 5.9 | 6.4 | 6.40 | Low | |
| 12:30 | US | Retail Sales Ex Gas/Autos MoM | -0.2 | 0.2 | 0.20 | High | |
| 12:30 | US | Retail Sales YoY | 5 | 4.7 | 6.15 | High | |
| 12:30 | US | Export Prices MoM | -1.3 | 0.5 | 0.50 | Medium | |
| 12:30 | US | Import Prices MoM | -0.4 | 0.4 | 0.40 | Medium | |
| 12:30 | US | Export Prices YoY | 8.2 | 8.5 | 8.50 | Low | |
| 14:00 | US | Business Inventories MoM | 0 | 0.3 | 0.30 | Medium | |
| 14:00 | US | NAHB Housing Market Index | 35 | 34 | 34.00 | Medium | |
| 14:00 | US | Retail Inventories Ex Autos MoM | 0.7 | -0.5 | 0.7 | 0.70 | Low |
| 14:30 | US | EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change | -0.391 | -1.6 | -3.43 | Medium | |
| 14:30 | US | EIA Gasoline Stocks Change | 1.269 | -1 | -0.95 | Medium | |
| 14:30 | US | EIA Distillate Stocks Change | 2.087 | 0.1 | 0.83 | Low | |
| 18:00 | US | Fed Interest Rate Decision | 3.75 | 4 | 4.00 | High | |
| 20:00 | US | Net Long-Term TIC Flows | 172.7 | 146.3 | 160.35 | Medium | |