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US Personal Consumption Expenditure YoY climbed to 2.1% in May 2013, up 0.3% from April's 1.8% reading.
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.50 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.45 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.40 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.35 | COMMODITIES | Moves against | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
Personal Consumption Expenditure YoY (United States) was reported at 2.1% in May 2013. The reading rose from the previous value of 1.8%.
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with S&P 500 (Bullish Stocks). A secondary relationship exists with EUR/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish EUR).
Same-country events in the next 14 days include OPEC Meeting (Nov 1) and ISM Manufacturing Employment (Nov 2).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update May 2013.
Personal Consumption Expenditure YoY is a financial indicator that measures the year-over-year change in the amount of money spent by individuals on goods and services. It is a key metric for assessing the health of consumer spending, which is a major driver of economic growth. This indicator provides valuable insights into consumer behavior and can help inform decisions related to investments, business strategies, and monetary policy.
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
Latest reading (May 2013): actual 2.1 %.
This indicator correlates most strongly with S&P 500 (Bullish Stocks, r=0.50) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.
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| Monday, November 2, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14:00 | ISM Manufacturing Prices | 77.9 | 78 | 78.40 | Low | ||
| 14:00 | ISM Manufacturing Employment | 52.7 | 53 | 54.50 | Medium | ||
| 14:00 | ISM Manufacturing PMI | 54.5 | 54.7 | 55.50 | High | ||
| 14:00 | ISM Manufacturing New Orders | 55.3 | 55.4 | 56.05 | Low | ||
| 15:00 | Construction Spending MoM | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.45 | Low | ||
| 15:00 | ISM Manufacturing PMI | 54.5 | 54.7 | 55.50 | High | ||
| 15:00 | ISM Manufacturing Prices | 77.9 | 77.5 | 77.90 | Low | ||
| 15:00 | ISM Manufacturing Employment | 52.7 | 53 | 54.50 | Medium | ||
| 15:00 | ISM Manufacturing New Orders | 55.3 | 55.4 | 56.05 | Low | ||
| 15:30 | 3-Month Bill Auction | 4.05 | 4.009 | 4.01 | Low | ||
| 16:30 | 3-Month Bill Auction | 4.05 | 4.009 | 4.01 | Low | ||
| Tuesday, November 3, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 15:00 | JOLTs Job Openings | 7.079 | 7.1 | 7.08 | High | ||
| 15:00 | Economic Optimism Index | 46.8 | 46.2 | 45.00 | Low | ||
| 15:00 | JOLTs Job Quits | 3.066 | 3.05 | 3.14 | Low | ||
| 15:00 | Factory Orders ex Transportation | 0.3 | 0.4 | -0.05 | Low | ||
| 15:00 | Factory Orders MoM | 0.1 | 1.1 | 0.85 | Medium | ||
| 19:00 | Total Vehicle Sales | 16 | 15.9 | 19.80 | Low | ||
| Wednesday, November 4, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 13:15 | ADP Employment Change | 90 | 65 | 52.00 | High | ||
| 13:30 | Imports | 420.8 | 429.1 | 430.60 | Medium | ||
| 13:30 | Balance of Trade | -105.6 | -107.6 | -107.75 | Medium | ||
| 13:30 | Exports | 315.2 | 320.3 | 321.65 | Medium | ||
| 14:00 | ISM Services Prices | 74 | 75 | 77.05 | Low | ||
| 14:00 | ISM Services New Orders | 59.8 | 59.5 | 60.45 | Low | ||
| 14:00 | ISM Services PMI | 54.9 | 54.5 | 54.30 | High | ||
| 14:00 | ISM Services Employment | 50.1 | 50 | 47.70 | Low | ||
| 14:00 | ISM Services Business Activity | 56.5 | 56 | 57.55 | Low | ||
| 15:00 | ISM Services PMI | 54.9 | 54.8 | 54.60 | High | ||
| 15:00 | ISM Services New Orders | 59.8 | 59.5 | 60.45 | Low | ||
| 15:00 | ISM Services Prices | 74 | 75 | 77.05 | Low | ||
| 15:00 | ISM Services Employment | 50.1 | 50 | 47.70 | Low | ||
| 15:00 | ISM Services Business Activity | 56.5 | 56 | 57.55 | Low | ||