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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
United StatesUS Electronic Retail Card Spending YoY climbed to -0.5% in January 2025
FMPMonthlyReleased February 2025
US Electronic Retail Card Spending YoY climbed to -0.5% in January 2025, released February 2025, up 0.5% from December's -1.0% reading. The reading matched the -0.5% consensus.
Latest Release
-0.500000
Actual
-0.500000
Consensus
-1.000000
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.50 | INDEX | Bullish Stocks | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.45 | FOREX | Bearish EUR | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.40 | FOREX | Bullish USD | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.35 | COMMODITIES | Bearish Gold | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Watch | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Electronic Retail Card Spending YoY (United States) was reported at -0.5% in January 2025. This matched the market consensus of -0.5% exactly. The reading rose from the previous value of -1%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with S&P 500 (Bullish Stocks). A secondary relationship exists with EUR/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish EUR).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include OPEC Monthly Report (Jun 11) and Core PPI MoM (Jun 11).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update February 2025.
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Electronic Retail Card Spending YoY - US
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About Electronic Retail Card Spending YoY — United States
DEFINITION
Electronic Retail Card Spending YoY is a financial indicator that measures the year-over-year change in the amount of money spent using electronic retail cards, such as credit or debit cards, for retail purchases. This metric provides valuable insights into consumer spending habits and trends in the retail sector, making it a useful tool for businesses and investors to track and analyze. A positive YoY change indicates an increase in consumer spending, while a negative change suggests a decrease. Overall, this indicator can help inform financial decisions and strategies related to the retail industry.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Consumer activity accounts for the majority of GDP in advanced economies, making spending data a key cyclical signal for retail and discretionary sectors. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT'S NEXT
This indicator correlates most strongly with S&P 500 (Bullish Stocks, r=0.50) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.