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United States Retail Sales Ex Gas/Autos MoM
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0.4
Actual
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Consensus
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This economic indicator provides insights into current conditions.
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Retail Sales Ex Gas/Autos MoM - US
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Economic Calendar - US Events
| Friday, February 6, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15:00 | US | Michigan Consumer Expectations | 56.6 | 57 | 55 | 55.60 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | Michigan Consumer Sentiment | 57.3 | 56.4 | 53 | 54.20 | High |
| 15:00 | US | Michigan Current Conditions | 58.3 | 55.4 | 53 | 54.80 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | Non Farm Payrolls | - | 50 | 40 | 35.00 | High |
| 13:30 | US | Average Weekly Hours | - | 34.2 | 34.2 | 34.15 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | Unemployment Rate | - | 4.4 | 4.5 | 4.45 | High |
| 13:30 | US | Nonfarm Payrolls Private | - | 37 | 32 | 18.50 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | Average Hourly Earnings MoM | - | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.30 | Medium |
| 13:30 | US | Manufacturing Payrolls | - | -8 | -10 | -11.50 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | Participation Rate | - | 62.4 | 62.3 | 62.20 | Medium |
| 13:30 | US | Average Hourly Earnings YoY | - | 3.8 | 3.8 | 3.90 | Medium |
| 13:30 | US | U-6 Unemployment Rate | - | 8.4 | 8.5 | 8.30 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | Government Payrolls | - | 13 | 8 | 19.50 | Low |
| Thursday, February 5, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 15:00 | US | JOLTs Job Openings | 6.542 | 6.928 | 7 | 6.77 | High |
| 13:30 | US | Initial Jobless Claims | 231 | 209 | 214 | 213.67 | Medium |
| 13:30 | US | Jobless Claims 4-Week Average | 212.25 | 206.25 | 210 | 208.88 | Low |
| 12:30 | US | Challenger Job Cuts | 108.435 | 35.553 | 43 | 36.09 | Low |
| Wednesday, February 4, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 19:00 | US | Total Vehicle Sales | - | 16 | 15.5 | 15.43 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | ISM Non-Manufacturing Employment | 50.3 | 51.7 | 52.3 | 52.55 | Medium |
| 15:00 | US | ISM Non-Manufacturing New Orders | 53.1 | 56.5 | 55 | 55.85 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI | 53.8 | 53.8 | 53.5 | 54.13 | High |
| 15:00 | US | ISM Non-Manufacturing Prices | 66.6 | 65.1 | 65 | 65.25 | High |
| 14:45 | US | S&P Global Services PMI | 52.7 | 52.5 | 52.5 | 52.45 | Low |
| 14:45 | US | S&P Global Composite PMI | 53 | 52.7 | 52.8 | 52.77 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | Total Vehicle Sales | 14.9 | 16 | 15.5 | 15.43 | Low |
| 13:15 | US | ADP Employment Change | 22 | 37 | 35 | 30.25 | Medium |
| Tuesday, February 3, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 15:10 | US | RCM/TIPP Economic Optimism Index | 48.8 | 47.2 | 47 | 46.97 | Low |
| 15:10 | US | IBD/TIPP Economic Optimism | 48.8 | 47.2 | 47.9 | 47.88 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | JOLTs Job Openings | - | 7.146 | 7 | 6.77 | High |
| 15:00 | US | JOLTs Job Quits | - | 3.161 | 3.15 | 3.24 | Low |
| Monday, February 2, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 16:30 | US | Atlanta Fed GDPNow | - | 4.2 | 4.2 | 4.00 | Medium |
| 16:10 | US | Atlanta Fed GDPNow | 4.2 | 4.2 | 4.2 | 4.00 | Medium |
| 16:00 | US | Atlanta Fed GDPNow | 4.2 | 4.2 | 4.2 | 4.00 | Medium |
| 15:00 | US | ISM Manufacturing New Orders | 57.1 | 47.4 | 47.9 | 50.33 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | ISM Manufacturing Employment | 48.1 | 44.8 | 44.8 | 45.82 | Medium |
| 15:00 | US | ISM Manufacturing Prices | 59 | 58.5 | 59.9 | 59.55 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | ISM Manufacturing PMI | 52.6 | 47.9 | 48.2 | 49.20 | High |
| 14:45 | US | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI | 52.4 | 51.8 | 51.9 | 52.02 | Low |
| Friday, January 30, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 14:45 | US | Chicago PMI | 54 | 42.7 | 45 | 49.50 | Medium |
| 13:30 | US | Producer Price Index MoM | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.35 | High |
| 13:30 | US | Core PPI YoY | 3.3 | 3.1 | 3 | 3.15 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | Producer Price Index YoY | 3 | 3 | 2.9 | 2.95 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | PPI Ex Food, Energy and Trade MoM | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.35 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | PPI Ex Food, Energy and Trade YoY | 3.5 | 3.5 | 3.5 | 3.63 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | Core PPI MoM | 0.7 | 0 | 0.1 | 0.28 | Medium |
| Thursday, January 29, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 17:00 | US | Atlanta Fed GDPNow | - | 5.4 | 5.4 | 5.20 | Medium |
| 16:30 | US | Atlanta Fed GDPNow | 4.2 | 5.4 | 5.4 | 5.20 | Medium |
| 15:00 | US | Factory Orders MoM | 2.7 | -0.1 | 1.4 | 1.70 | Medium |
| 15:00 | US | Wholesale Inventories MoM | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.13 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | Balance of Trade | -56.8 | -29.2 | -37 | -34.58 | Medium |
| 13:30 | US | Exports | 292.1 | 303 | 303 | 297.55 | Medium |
| 13:30 | US | Nonfarm Productivity QoQ | 4.9 | 4.1 | 4.9 | 5.38 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | Imports | 348.9 | 332.1 | 340 | 344.45 | Medium |
| 13:30 | US | Unit Labour Costs QoQ | -1.9 | -2.9 | -1.9 | -2.63 | Low |
| Wednesday, January 28, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 19:00 | US | Fed Interest Rate Decision | 3.75 | 3.75 | 3.75 | 3.75 | High |
| Tuesday, January 27, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 15:00 | US | Richmond Fed Services Revenues Index | -3 | -6 | -2 | -2.50 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | Richmond Fed Manufacturing Shipments Index | -5 | -11 | -6 | -5.50 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index | -6 | -7 | -3 | -4.50 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | CB Consumer Confidence | 84.5 | 94.2 | 90.6 | 87.55 | High |
| 14:00 | US | S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price YoY | 1.4 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 1.30 | Medium |
| 14:00 | US | S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price MoM | 0 | -0.3 | -0.2 | -0.10 | Low |
| 14:00 | US | House Price Index MoM | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.45 | Low |
| 14:00 | US | House Price Index | 439.3 | 436.8 | 438 | 438.65 | Low |
| 14:00 | US | House Price Index YoY | 1.9 | 1.8 | 1 | 1.45 | Low |
| Monday, January 26, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 15:00 | US | Atlanta Fed GDPNow | 5.4 | 5.4 | 5.4 | 5.20 | Medium |
| 13:30 | US | Durable Goods Orders MoM | 5.3 | -2.1 | 1.1 | 3.20 | High |
| 13:30 | US | Chicago Fed National Activity Index | -0.04 | -0.42 | -0.4 | -0.22 | Medium |
| Friday, January 23, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 15:00 | US | Inflation Expectations | - | 3.4 | 3.4 | 3.45 | Medium |
| 15:00 | US | Michigan Inflation Expectations | - | 4.2 | 4.2 | 4.20 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | Michigan Current Conditions | - | 50.4 | 52.4 | 54.20 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | Michigan Consumer Sentiment | - | 52.9 | 54 | 55.20 | High |
| 15:00 | US | Michigan 5 Year Inflation Expectations | - | 3.2 | 3.4 | 3.55 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | Michigan Consumer Expectations | - | 54.6 | 55 | 55.60 | Low |
| 14:45 | US | S&P Global Services PMI Flash | - | 52.5 | 52.3 | 52.30 | Medium |
| 14:45 | US | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI Flash | - | 51.8 | 52 | 52.00 | Medium |
| 14:45 | US | S&P Global Composite PMI Flash | - | 52.7 | 52.8 | 52.80 | Medium |
| 14:45 | US | S&P Global Services PMI | - | 52.5 | 52.8 | 52.75 | High |
| 14:45 | US | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI | - | 51.8 | 52.1 | 52.23 | High |
| Thursday, January 22, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 16:00 | US | Kansas Fed Composite Index | - | 1 | 4 | 4.00 | Low |
| 16:00 | US | Kansas Fed Manufacturing Index | - | -3 | 5 | 5.00 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | Core PCE Price Index YoY | - | 2.8 | 2.8 | 2.80 | High |
| 15:00 | US | Personal Spending MoM | - | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.40 | High |
| 15:00 | US | Core PCE Price Index MoM | - | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.10 | High |
| 15:00 | US | PCE Price Index MoM | - | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.20 | Medium |
| 15:00 | US | Core PCE Price Index MoM | - | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.10 | High |
| 15:00 | US | PCE Price Index YoY | - | 2.8 | 2.7 | 2.70 | Medium |
| 13:30 | US | GDP Price Index QoQ | - | 2.1 | 3.7 | 3.70 | Medium |
| 13:30 | US | Core PCE Prices QoQ | - | 2.6 | 2.9 | 2.90 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | PCE Prices QoQ | - | 2.1 | 2.8 | 2.80 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | Corporate Profits QoQ | - | 0.2 | 4.4 | 4.40 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | Initial Jobless Claims | - | 198 | 195 | 194.67 | High |
| 13:30 | US | Continuing Jobless Claims | - | 1884 | 1880 | 1882.00 | High |
| 13:30 | US | Real Consumer Spending QoQ | - | 2.5 | 3.5 | 3.50 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | Jobless Claims 4-Week Average | - | 205 | 203 | 201.88 | High |
| 13:30 | US | GDP Sales QoQ | - | 7.5 | 4.6 | 4.60 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | GDP Growth Rate QoQ | - | 3.8 | 4.3 | 4.30 | High |
| 13:30 | US | Real Consumer Spending | - | 2.5 | 3.5 | 3.50 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | Gross Domestic Product QoQ | - | 3.8 | 4.3 | 4.30 | High |
| 13:30 | US | Core PCE Price Index YoY | - | 2.8 | 2.8 | 2.80 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | Core PCE Price Index YoY | - | 2.8 | 2.8 | 2.80 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | PCE Price Index YoY | - | 2.8 | 2.8 | 2.80 | Medium |
| 13:30 | US | PCE Price Index YoY | - | 2.8 | 2.8 | 2.80 | Medium |
| 13:30 | US | Personal Spending MoM | - | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.20 | High |
| 13:30 | US | Personal Income MoM | - | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.30 | High |
| 13:30 | US | Core PCE Price Index MoM | - | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.10 | High |
| 13:30 | US | PCE Price Index MoM | - | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.20 | Medium |
| Wednesday, January 21, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 17:00 | US | Atlanta Fed GDPNow | - | 5.3 | 5.3 | 5.10 | Medium |
| 15:00 | US | Pending Home Sales MoM | - | 3.3 | 1.4 | 1.40 | Medium |
| 15:00 | US | Pending Home Sales YoY | - | 2.6 | 0.2 | 0.20 | Medium |
| 15:00 | US | Construction Spending MoM | - | 0.2 | -0.1 | -0.10 | Low |
| Friday, January 16, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 15:00 | US | Michigan Inflation Expectations | - | 4.2 | 4.2 | 4.20 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | Michigan Consumer Sentiment | - | 52.9 | 54 | 55.20 | High |
| 15:00 | US | Michigan Current Conditions | - | 50.4 | 52.4 | 54.20 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | Michigan 5 Year Inflation Expectations | - | 3.2 | 3.4 | 3.55 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | NAHB Housing Market Index | 37 | 39 | 40 | 38.50 | Medium |
| 15:00 | US | Michigan Consumer Expectations | - | 54.6 | 55 | 55.60 | Low |
| 14:15 | US | Industrial Production YoY | 2 | 2.5 | 2.7 | 2.35 | Low |
| 14:15 | US | Manufacturing Production MoM | 0.2 | 0.3 | -0.2 | 0.00 | Low |
| 14:15 | US | Capacity Utilization | 76.3 | 76 | 76 | 76.15 | Low |
| 14:15 | US | Manufacturing Production YoY | 2 | 1.9 | 2 | 2.00 | Low |
| 14:15 | US | Industrial Production MoM | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.25 | Medium |
| Thursday, January 15, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 15:30 | US | EIA Natural Gas Stocks Change | -71 | -119 | -90 | -86.50 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | Initial Jobless Claims | 198 | 207 | 215 | 214.67 | High |
| 13:30 | US | Import Prices MoM | 0.4 | 0 | -0.1 | 0.15 | Medium |
| 13:30 | US | Import Prices YoY | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.25 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | Import Prices YoY | - | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.35 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | Import Prices MoM | - | 0 | 0.1 | 0.35 | Medium |
| 13:30 | US | Export Prices YoY | - | 3.8 | 3 | 3.00 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | Export Prices YoY | - | 3.8 | 3 | 3.00 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | Continuing Jobless Claims | 1884 | 1903 | 1890 | 1892.00 | High |
| 13:30 | US | NY Empire State Manufacturing Index | 7.7 | -3.7 | 1 | 4.35 | High |
| 13:30 | US | Export Prices MoM | - | 0 | -0.1 | -0.10 | Medium |
| 13:30 | US | Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index | 12.6 | -8.8 | -2 | 5.30 | Medium |
| 13:30 | US | Jobless Claims 4-Week Average | 205 | 211.5 | 215 | 213.88 | High |
| Wednesday, January 14, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 17:30 | US | Atlanta Fed GDPNow | 5.3 | 5.1 | 5.1 | 4.90 | Medium |
| 17:00 | US | Atlanta Fed GDPNow | - | 5.1 | 5.1 | 4.90 | Medium |
| 15:30 | US | EIA Distillate Stocks Change | -0.029 | 5.594 | -0.2 | 0.69 | Low |
| 15:30 | US | EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change | 3.391 | -3.831 | -2.2 | -2.04 | Medium |
| 15:30 | US | EIA Gasoline Stocks Change | 8.977 | 7.702 | 4 | 6.44 | Medium |
| 15:10 | US | RCM/TIPP Economic Optimism Index | - | 47.9 | 47.4 | 47.37 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | Existing Home Sales | 4.35 | 4.14 | 4.21 | 4.28 | High |
| 15:00 | US | Existing Home Sales MoM | 5.1 | 0.7 | -1.6 | 1.75 | High |
| 15:00 | US | Business Inventories MoM | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.25 | Medium |
| 15:00 | US | Retail Inventories Ex Autos MoM | 0.3 | 0.1 | -0.1 | 0.10 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | PPI Ex Food, Energy and Trade YoY | 3.4 | 3 | 2.9 | 3.02 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | Core PPI YoY | 3 | 2.9 | 2.7 | 2.85 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | Producer Price Index MoM | - | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.55 | High |
| 13:30 | US | PPI Ex Food, Energy and Trade MoM | - | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.25 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | Core PPI MoM | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.38 | Medium |
| 13:30 | US | Core PPI YoY | - | 2.6 | 2.7 | 2.85 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | Producer Price Index YoY | - | 2.7 | 2.7 | 2.75 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | Current Account | -226.4 | -249.2 | -238.4 | -232.40 | Medium |
| 13:30 | US | Retail Sales Ex Autos MoM | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.45 | High |
| 13:30 | US | Retail Sales YoY | 3.3 | 3.3 | 3 | 3.15 | High |
| 13:30 | US | Retail Sales MoM | 0.6 | -0.1 | 0.4 | 0.50 | High |
| 13:30 | US | Retail Sales Ex Gas/Autos MoM | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.25 | High |
| Tuesday, January 13, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 21:30 | US | API Crude Oil Stock Change | 5.27 | -2.8 | -2 | -1.18 | Medium |
| 19:00 | US | Monthly Budget Statement | -145 | -173 | -150 | -147.50 | Medium |
| 19:00 | US | Budget Balance | -145 | -173 | -144.5 | -144.75 | Medium |
| 15:10 | US | RCM/TIPP Economic Optimism Index | 47.2 | 47.9 | 48.2 | 48.17 | Low |
| 15:10 | US | IBD/TIPP Economic Optimism | 47.2 | 47.9 | 48.2 | 48.18 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | New Home Sales | - | 800 | 710 | 710.00 | High |
| 15:00 | US | New Home Sales | - | 0.8 | 0.69 | 0.69 | Medium |
| 15:00 | US | RCM/TIPP Economic Optimism Index | 47.2 | 47.9 | 48.2 | 48.17 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | Core Inflation Rate YoY | 2.6 | 2.6 | 2.7 | 2.65 | High |
| 13:30 | US | CPI | 324.05 | 324.12 | 323.8 | 323.93 | High |
| 13:30 | US | CPI s.a | 326.03 | 325.031 | 325.7 | 325.87 | High |
| 13:30 | US | Inflation Rate YoY | 2.7 | 2.7 | 2.7 | 2.70 | High |
| 13:30 | US | Building Permits | 1.411 | 1.415 | 1.412 | 2.81 | Low |
| 11:00 | US | NFIB Business Optimism Index | 99.5 | 99 | 99.5 | 99.50 | Low |
| Monday, January 12, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 17:00 | US | Quarterly Grain Stocks - Corn | 13.28 | 1.55 | 13.1 | 13.19 | Low |
| 17:00 | US | Quarterly Grain Stocks - Wheat | 1.68 | 2.13 | 1.65 | 1.67 | Low |
| 17:00 | US | Quarterly Grain Stocks - Soy | 3.29 | 0.32 | 3.28 | 3.29 | Low |
| Friday, January 9, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 16:30 | US | Atlanta Fed GDPNow | 5.1 | 5.4 | 5.4 | 5.20 | Medium |
| 15:30 | US | Atlanta Fed GDPNow | - | 5.4 | 5.4 | 5.20 | Medium |
| 15:00 | US | Michigan Consumer Sentiment | 54 | 52.9 | 53.5 | 54.70 | High |
| 15:00 | US | Michigan Current Conditions | 52.4 | 50.4 | 50.5 | 52.30 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | Michigan 5 Year Inflation Expectations | 3.4 | 3.2 | 3.1 | 3.25 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | Michigan Inflation Expectations | 4.2 | 4.2 | 4.2 | 4.20 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | Michigan Consumer Expectations | 55 | 54.6 | 54.2 | 54.80 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | Inflation Expectations | 3.4 | 3.2 | 3.3 | 3.35 | Medium |
| 13:30 | US | Average Hourly Earnings YoY | 3.8 | 3.6 | 3.6 | 3.70 | Medium |
| 13:30 | US | U-6 Unemployment Rate | 8.4 | 8.7 | 8.8 | 8.60 | High |
| 13:30 | US | Housing Starts | 1.246 | 1.306 | 1.33 | 1.29 | High |
| 13:30 | US | Housing Starts MoM | -4.6 | 1.2 | 0.8 | -1.90 | Medium |
| 13:30 | US | Building Permits | 6.4 | -2.3 | 0.8 | 2.20 | Medium |
| 13:30 | US | Government Payrolls | 13 | 6 | -10 | 1.50 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | Unemployment Rate | 4.4 | 4.5 | 4.5 | 4.45 | High |
| 13:30 | US | Manufacturing Payrolls | -8 | -2 | -5 | -6.50 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | Nonfarm Payrolls Private | 37 | 50 | 64 | 50.50 | High |
| 13:30 | US | Participation Rate | 62.4 | 62.5 | 62.6 | 62.50 | Medium |
| 13:30 | US | Non Farm Payrolls | 50 | 56 | 60 | 55.00 | High |
| 13:30 | US | Average Hourly Earnings MoM | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.30 | Medium |
| 13:30 | US | Average Weekly Hours | 34.2 | 34.3 | 34.3 | 34.25 | Low |
| Thursday, January 8, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 20:00 | US | Consumer Credit Change | 4.23 | 9.24 | 10 | 7.12 | Low |
| 20:00 | US | BoE Consumer Credit | 4.23 | 9.24 | 10.1 | 7.17 | Medium |
| 17:00 | US | Atlanta Fed GDPNow | 5.4 | 2.7 | 2.7 | 2.50 | Medium |
| 16:00 | US | Consumer Inflation Expectation | 3.4 | 3.2 | 3.2 | 3.30 | Low |
| 15:30 | US | EIA Natural Gas Stocks Change | -119 | -38 | -114 | -110.50 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | Wholesale Inventories MoM | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.23 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | Nonfarm Productivity QoQ | 4.9 | 4.1 | 3 | 3.48 | Medium |
| 13:30 | US | Initial Jobless Claims | 208 | 200 | 210 | 209.67 | High |
| 13:30 | US | Continuing Jobless Claims | 1914 | 1858 | 1900 | 1902.00 | High |
| 13:30 | US | Jobless Claims 4-Week Average | 211.75 | 219 | 210.75 | 209.63 | High |
| 13:30 | US | Unit Labour Costs QoQ | -1.9 | -2.9 | 1 | 0.28 | Medium |
| 13:30 | US | Balance of Trade | -29.4 | -48.1 | -58.9 | -56.47 | Medium |
| 12:30 | US | Challenger Job Cuts | 35.553 | 71.321 | 89 | 82.09 | Low |
| 10:30 | US | Challenger Job Cuts | 35.553 | 71.321 | 89 | 82.09 | Low |
| Wednesday, January 7, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 15:30 | US | EIA Gasoline Stocks Change | 7.702 | 5.845 | 2.9 | 5.34 | Medium |
| 15:30 | US | EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change | -3.831 | -1.934 | 1.1 | 1.27 | Medium |
| 15:30 | US | EIA Distillate Stocks Change | 5.594 | 4.977 | 2.2 | 3.09 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | JOLTs Job Openings | 7.146 | 7.449 | 7.6 | 7.37 | High |
| 15:00 | US | Factory Orders ex Transportation | -0.2 | 0.1 | -0.3 | -0.25 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | Factory Orders MoM | -1.3 | 0.2 | -1.2 | -0.90 | Medium |
| 15:00 | US | JOLTs Job Quits | 3.161 | 2.973 | 2.99 | 3.08 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI | 54.4 | 52.6 | 52.2 | 52.83 | High |
| 15:00 | US | ISM Non-Manufacturing New Orders | 57.9 | 52.9 | 52.6 | 53.45 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | ISM Non-Manufacturing Employment | 52 | 48.9 | 49 | 49.25 | Medium |
| 15:00 | US | ISM Non-Manufacturing Prices | 64.3 | 65.4 | 64.9 | 65.15 | High |
| 15:00 | US | ISM Services PMI | 54.4 | 52.6 | 52.3 | 53.35 | High |
| 15:00 | US | ISM Services New Orders | 57.9 | 52.9 | 52.2 | 55.05 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | ISM Services Business Activity | 56 | 54.5 | 54 | 55.00 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | ISM Services Employment | 52 | 48.9 | 48.7 | 50.35 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | ISM Services Prices | 64.3 | 65.4 | 65.5 | 64.90 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | Durable Goods Orders Ex Defense MoM | -1.5 | -1.5 | -1.5 | -1.50 | Low |
| 13:15 | US | ADP Employment Change | 41 | -29 | 47 | 42.25 | High |
| Tuesday, January 6, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 21:30 | US | API Crude Oil Stock Change | -2.8 | 1.7 | 1.2 | 2.02 | Medium |
| 14:45 | US | S&P Global Composite PMI | 52.7 | 54.2 | 53 | 52.98 | Low |
| 14:45 | US | S&P Global Services PMI | 52.5 | 54.1 | 52.9 | 52.85 | Low |
| Monday, January 5, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 19:00 | US | Total Vehicle Sales | 16 | 15.6 | 15.7 | 15.63 | Low |
| 17:00 | US | Atlanta Fed GDPNow | 2.7 | 3 | 3 | 2.80 | Medium |
| 15:00 | US | ISM Services Prices | - | 65.4 | 65.5 | 64.90 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | ISM Services Employment | - | 48.9 | 48.7 | 50.35 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | ISM Services Business Activity | - | 54.5 | 54 | 55.00 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | ISM Services New Orders | - | 52.9 | 52.2 | 55.05 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | ISM Services PMI | - | 52.6 | 52 | 53.05 | High |
| 15:00 | US | ISM Manufacturing Employment | 44.9 | 44 | 44.1 | 45.13 | Medium |
| 15:00 | US | ISM Manufacturing New Orders | 47.7 | 47.4 | 47.2 | 49.63 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | ISM Manufacturing Prices | 58.5 | 58.5 | 59 | 58.65 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | ISM Manufacturing PMI | 47.9 | 48.2 | 48.3 | 49.30 | High |
| Friday, January 2, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 15:00 | US | Construction Spending MoM | - | 0.2 | -0.1 | -0.10 | Low |
| 14:45 | US | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI | 51.8 | 52.2 | 51.8 | 51.92 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | Average Weekly Hours | - | 34.3 | 34.3 | 34.25 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | Average Hourly Earnings MoM | - | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.20 | Medium |
| 13:30 | US | Unemployment Rate | - | 4.6 | 4.7 | 4.65 | High |
| 13:30 | US | Nonfarm Payrolls Private | - | 69 | 6 | -7.50 | High |
| 13:30 | US | Participation Rate | - | 62.5 | 62.6 | 62.50 | Medium |
| 13:30 | US | Manufacturing Payrolls | - | -5 | -10 | -11.50 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | Government Payrolls | - | -5 | -6 | 5.50 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | Non Farm Payrolls | - | 64 | 12 | 7.00 | High |
| Sunday, January 1, 2023 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Inflation, consumer prices (annual %) | 4.1163383837449 | 4.1163383837449 | 4.1163383837449 | 4.12 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Labor force, total | 170715034 | 170715034 | 170715034 | 170715034.00 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Unemployment, total (% of total labor force) (national estimate) | 3.638 | 3.638 | 3.638 | 3.64 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Current account balance (% of GDP) | -3.3090170346883 | -3.3090170346883 | -3.3090170346883 | -3.31 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Population, total | 334914895 | 334914895 | 334914895 | 334914895.00 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Domestic credit to private sector by banks (% of GDP) | 49.150559741687 | 49.150559741687 | 49.150559741687 | 49.15 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Imports of goods and services (% of GDP) | 13.887851858334 | 13.887851858334 | 13.887851858334 | 13.89 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Central government debt, total (% of GDP) | 114.87716277387 | 114.87716277387 | 114.87716277387 | 114.88 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Exports of goods and services (% of GDP) | 11.01151128566 | 11.01151128566 | 11.01151128566 | 11.01 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Unemployment with advanced education (% of total labor force with advanced education) | 2.373 | 2.373 | 2.373 | 2.37 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | GDP (current US$) | 27360935000000 | 27360935000000 | 27360935000000 | 27360935000000.00 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Consumer price index (2010 = 100) | 139.73579356326 | 139.73579356326 | 139.73579356326 | 139.74 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | GDP growth (annual %) | 2.5427002987849 | 2.5427002987849 | 2.5427002987849 | 2.54 | Medium |
| Saturday, January 1, 2022 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Fertility rate, total (births per woman) | 1.665 | 1.665 | 1.665 | 1.67 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Inflation, consumer prices (annual %) | 8.0027998205212 | 8.0027998205212 | 8.0027998205212 | 8.00 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Labor force, total | 168341090 | 168341090 | 168341090 | 168341090.00 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Unemployment, total (% of total labor force) (national estimate) | 3.65 | 3.65 | 3.65 | 3.65 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Current account balance (% of GDP) | -3.9313966520029 | -3.9313966520029 | -3.9313966520029 | -3.93 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Population, total | 333271411 | 333271411 | 333271411 | 333271411.00 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Domestic credit to private sector by banks (% of GDP) | 51.136584491221 | 51.136584491221 | 51.136584491221 | 51.14 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Imports of goods and services (% of GDP) | 15.28946191304 | 15.28946191304 | 15.28946191304 | 15.29 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Central government debt, total (% of GDP) | 112.88963276005 | 112.88963276005 | 112.88963276005 | 112.89 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Exports of goods and services (% of GDP) | 11.602227917037 | 11.602227917037 | 11.602227917037 | 11.60 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Unemployment with advanced education (% of total labor force with advanced education) | 2.321 | 2.321 | 2.321 | 2.32 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | GDP (current US$) | 25744108000000 | 25744108000000 | 25744108000000 | 25744108000000.00 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Consumer price index (2010 = 100) | 134.21120616846 | 134.21120616846 | 134.21120616846 | 134.21 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | GDP growth (annual %) | 1.9354958948321 | 1.9354958948321 | 1.9354958948321 | 1.94 | Medium |
| Friday, January 1, 2021 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Real interest rate (%) | -1.2762333113846 | -1.2762333113846 | -1.2762333113846 | -1.28 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Consumer price index (2010 = 100) | 124.26641382584 | 124.26641382584 | 124.26641382584 | 124.27 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | GDP growth (annual %) | 5.8002061284573 | 5.8002061284573 | 5.8002061284573 | 5.80 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Fertility rate, total (births per woman) | 1.664 | 1.664 | 1.664 | 1.66 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Lending interest rate (%) | 3.25 | 3.25 | 3.25 | 3.25 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Inflation, consumer prices (annual %) | 4.6978588636374 | 4.6978588636374 | 4.6978588636374 | 4.70 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Labor force, total | 166395605 | 166395605 | 166395605 | 166395605.00 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Unemployment, total (% of total labor force) (national estimate) | 5.349 | 5.349 | 5.349 | 5.35 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Current account balance (% of GDP) | -3.6788287681745 | -3.6788287681745 | -3.6788287681745 | -3.68 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Population, total | 332048977 | 332048977 | 332048977 | 332048977.00 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Domestic credit to private sector by banks (% of GDP) | 50.214770826255 | 50.214770826255 | 50.214770826255 | 50.21 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Imports of goods and services (% of GDP) | 14.422677831261 | 14.422677831261 | 14.422677831261 | 14.42 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Central government debt, total (% of GDP) | 118.45075566576 | 118.45075566576 | 118.45075566576 | 118.45 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Exports of goods and services (% of GDP) | 10.790978199516 | 10.790978199516 | 10.790978199516 | 10.79 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Unemployment with advanced education (% of total labor force with advanced education) | 3.576 | 3.576 | 3.576 | 3.58 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | GDP (current US$) | 23594031000000 | 23594031000000 | 23594031000000 | 23594031000000.00 | Medium |
| Wednesday, January 1, 2020 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Real interest rate (%) | 2.1945664234618 | 2.1945664234618 | 2.1945664234618 | 2.19 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Consumer price index (2010 = 100) | 118.6905015772 | 118.6905015772 | 118.6905015772 | 118.69 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | GDP growth (annual %) | -2.2134693329064 | -2.2134693329064 | -2.2134693329064 | -2.21 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Fertility rate, total (births per woman) | 1.6415 | 1.6415 | 1.6415 | 1.64 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Lending interest rate (%) | 3.5441666666667 | 3.5441666666667 | 3.5441666666667 | 3.54 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Inflation, consumer prices (annual %) | 1.2335843963063 | 1.2335843963063 | 1.2335843963063 | 1.23 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Labor force, total | 165890228 | 165890228 | 165890228 | 165890228.00 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Unemployment, total (% of total labor force) (national estimate) | 8.055 | 8.055 | 8.055 | 8.05 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Human Capital Index (HCI) (scale 0-1) | 0.70176434516907 | 0.70176434516907 | 0.70176434516907 | 0.70 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Current account balance (% of GDP) | -2.8195301306808 | -2.8195301306808 | -2.8195301306808 | -2.82 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Population, total | 331526933 | 331526933 | 331526933 | 331526933.00 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Domestic credit to private sector by banks (% of GDP) | 53.765145340111 | 53.765145340111 | 53.765145340111 | 53.77 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Imports of goods and services (% of GDP) | 13.00612224207 | 13.00612224207 | 13.00612224207 | 13.01 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Armed forces personnel, total | 1395000 | 1395000 | 1395000 | 1395000.00 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Hospital beds (per 1,000 people) | 2.74 | 2.74 | 2.74 | 2.74 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Central government debt, total (% of GDP) | 124.55089080062 | 124.55089080062 | 124.55089080062 | 124.55 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Physicians (per 1,000 people) | 3.555 | 3.555 | 3.555 | 3.56 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Exports of goods and services (% of GDP) | 10.073655627337 | 10.073655627337 | 10.073655627337 | 10.07 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Unemployment with advanced education (% of total labor force with advanced education) | 5.591 | 5.591 | 5.591 | 5.59 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | GDP (current US$) | 21322950000000 | 21322950000000 | 21322950000000 | 21322950000000.00 | Medium |
| Tuesday, January 1, 2019 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | USAUSA | GDP (current US$) | 21521395000000 | 21521395000000 | 21521395000000 | 21521395000000.00 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Physicians (per 1,000 people) | 3.518 | 3.518 | 3.518 | 3.52 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Exports of goods and services (% of GDP) | 11.789197409729 | 11.789197409729 | 11.789197409729 | 11.79 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Unemployment with advanced education (% of total labor force with advanced education) | 2.38 | 2.38 | 2.38 | 2.38 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Real interest rate (%) | 3.5444974567352 | 3.5444974567352 | 3.5444974567352 | 3.54 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Consumer price index (2010 = 100) | 117.24419547623 | 117.24419547623 | 117.24419547623 | 117.24 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | GDP growth (annual %) | 2.4670375631391 | 2.4670375631391 | 2.4670375631391 | 2.47 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Fertility rate, total (births per woman) | 1.706 | 1.706 | 1.706 | 1.71 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Inflation, consumer prices (annual %) | 1.8122100752602 | 1.8122100752602 | 1.8122100752602 | 1.81 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Lending interest rate (%) | 5.2825 | 5.2825 | 5.2825 | 5.28 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Labor force, total | 167362601 | 167362601 | 167362601 | 167362601.00 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Time required to build a warehouse (days) | 80.6 | 80.6 | 80.6 | 80.60 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Unemployment, total (% of total labor force) (national estimate) | 3.669 | 3.669 | 3.669 | 3.67 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Time required to start a business (days) | 4.2 | 4.2 | 4.2 | 4.20 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Current account balance (% of GDP) | -2.0525992855017 | -2.0525992855017 | -2.0525992855017 | -2.05 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Population, total | 328329953 | 328329953 | 328329953 | 328329953.00 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Domestic credit to private sector by banks (% of GDP) | 52.205571119906 | 52.205571119906 | 52.205571119906 | 52.21 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Imports of goods and services (% of GDP) | 14.469283214814 | 14.469283214814 | 14.469283214814 | 14.47 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Armed forces personnel, total | 1388000 | 1388000 | 1388000 | 1388000.00 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Hospital beds (per 1,000 people) | 2.75 | 2.75 | 2.75 | 2.75 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Central government debt, total (% of GDP) | 100.03234914495 | 100.03234914495 | 100.03234914495 | 100.03 | Medium |
| Monday, January 1, 2018 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Hospital beds (per 1,000 people) | 2.78 | 2.78 | 2.78 | 2.78 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Central government debt, total (% of GDP) | 98.449462629613 | 98.449462629613 | 98.449462629613 | 98.45 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Exports of goods and services (% of GDP) | 12.287110759627 | 12.287110759627 | 12.287110759627 | 12.29 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Unemployment with advanced education (% of total labor force with advanced education) | 2.45 | 2.45 | 2.45 | 2.45 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | GDP (current US$) | 20656516000000 | 20656516000000 | 20656516000000 | 20656516000000.00 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Physicians (per 1,000 people) | 2.57 | 2.57 | 2.57 | 2.57 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Real interest rate (%) | 2.5547498751074 | 2.5547498751074 | 2.5547498751074 | 2.55 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Consumer price index (2010 = 100) | 115.15730322479 | 115.15730322479 | 115.15730322479 | 115.16 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | GDP growth (annual %) | 2.9665050710043 | 2.9665050710043 | 2.9665050710043 | 2.97 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Fertility rate, total (births per woman) | 1.7295 | 1.7295 | 1.7295 | 1.73 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Inflation, consumer prices (annual %) | 2.4425832969282 | 2.4425832969282 | 2.4425832969282 | 2.44 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Lending interest rate (%) | 4.9041666666667 | 4.9041666666667 | 4.9041666666667 | 4.90 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Labor force, total | 165560920 | 165560920 | 165560920 | 165560920.00 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Time required to build a warehouse (days) | 80.6 | 80.6 | 80.6 | 80.60 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Unemployment, total (% of total labor force) (national estimate) | 3.896 | 3.896 | 3.896 | 3.90 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Human Capital Index (HCI) (scale 0-1) | 0.71368324756622 | 0.71368324756622 | 0.71368324756622 | 0.71 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Time required to start a business (days) | 5.6 | 5.6 | 5.6 | 5.60 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Current account balance (% of GDP) | -2.129357148127 | -2.129357148127 | -2.129357148127 | -2.13 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Population, total | 326838199 | 326838199 | 326838199 | 326838199.00 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Domestic credit to private sector by banks (% of GDP) | 51.783318042747 | 51.783318042747 | 51.783318042747 | 51.78 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Imports of goods and services (% of GDP) | 15.158248370635 | 15.158248370635 | 15.158248370635 | 15.16 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Armed forces personnel, total | 1379800 | 1379800 | 1379800 | 1379800.00 | Medium |
| Sunday, January 1, 2017 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Imports of goods and services (% of GDP) | 14.947857195521 | 14.947857195521 | 14.947857195521 | 14.95 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Armed forces personnel, total | 1359000 | 1359000 | 1359000 | 1359000.00 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Hospital beds (per 1,000 people) | 2.82 | 2.82 | 2.82 | 2.82 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Central government debt, total (% of GDP) | 97.021303478842 | 97.021303478842 | 97.021303478842 | 97.02 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Exports of goods and services (% of GDP) | 12.177481026766 | 12.177481026766 | 12.177481026766 | 12.18 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Unemployment with advanced education (% of total labor force with advanced education) | 2.686 | 2.686 | 2.686 | 2.69 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | GDP (current US$) | 19612102000000 | 19612102000000 | 19612102000000 | 19612102000000.00 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Real interest rate (%) | 2.2652963801397 | 2.2652963801397 | 2.2652963801397 | 2.27 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Consumer price index (2010 = 100) | 112.41155730231 | 112.41155730231 | 112.41155730231 | 112.41 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | GDP growth (annual %) | 2.45762230357 | 2.45762230357 | 2.45762230357 | 2.46 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Fertility rate, total (births per woman) | 1.7655 | 1.7655 | 1.7655 | 1.77 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Inflation, consumer prices (annual %) | 2.1301100036596 | 2.1301100036596 | 2.1301100036596 | 2.13 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Lending interest rate (%) | 4.0966666666667 | 4.0966666666667 | 4.0966666666667 | 4.10 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Labor force, total | 164208490 | 164208490 | 164208490 | 164208490.00 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Time required to build a warehouse (days) | 80.6 | 80.6 | 80.6 | 80.60 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Unemployment, total (% of total labor force) (national estimate) | 4.355 | 4.355 | 4.355 | 4.36 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Human Capital Index (HCI) (scale 0-1) | 0.762 | 0.762 | 0.762 | 0.76 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Time required to start a business (days) | 5.6 | 5.6 | 5.6 | 5.60 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Current account balance (% of GDP) | -1.8744242712994 | -1.8744242712994 | -1.8744242712994 | -1.87 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Population, total | 325122128 | 325122128 | 325122128 | 325122128.00 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Domestic credit to private sector by banks (% of GDP) | 52.054872341407 | 52.054872341407 | 52.054872341407 | 52.05 | Medium |
| Friday, January 1, 2016 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Domestic credit to private sector by banks (% of GDP) | 52.011921982023 | 52.011921982023 | 52.011921982023 | 52.01 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Armed forces personnel, total | 1348400 | 1348400 | 1348400 | 1348400.00 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Imports of goods and services (% of GDP) | 14.564438559221 | 14.564438559221 | 14.564438559221 | 14.56 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Hospital beds (per 1,000 people) | 2.73 | 2.73 | 2.73 | 2.73 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Central government debt, total (% of GDP) | 97.928589193686 | 97.928589193686 | 97.928589193686 | 97.93 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Exports of goods and services (% of GDP) | 11.888159227325 | 11.888159227325 | 11.888159227325 | 11.89 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Unemployment with advanced education (% of total labor force with advanced education) | 2.908 | 2.908 | 2.908 | 2.91 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | GDP (current US$) | 18804913000000 | 18804913000000 | 18804913000000 | 18804913000000.00 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Real interest rate (%) | 2.537232298571 | 2.537232298571 | 2.537232298571 | 2.54 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Consumer price index (2010 = 100) | 110.06700893427 | 110.06700893427 | 110.06700893427 | 110.07 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | GDP growth (annual %) | 1.8194514747429 | 1.8194514747429 | 1.8194514747429 | 1.82 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Fertility rate, total (births per woman) | 1.8205 | 1.8205 | 1.8205 | 1.82 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Inflation, consumer prices (annual %) | 1.2615832057054 | 1.2615832057054 | 1.2615832057054 | 1.26 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Lending interest rate (%) | 3.5116666666667 | 3.5116666666667 | 3.5116666666667 | 3.51 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Labor force, total | 162663672 | 162663672 | 162663672 | 162663672.00 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Time required to build a warehouse (days) | 80.6 | 80.6 | 80.6 | 80.60 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Unemployment, total (% of total labor force) (national estimate) | 4.869 | 4.869 | 4.869 | 4.87 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Time required to start a business (days) | 5.6 | 5.6 | 5.6 | 5.60 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Current account balance (% of GDP) | -2.1069972511971 | -2.1069972511971 | -2.1069972511971 | -2.11 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Population, total | 323071755 | 323071755 | 323071755 | 323071755.00 | Medium |
| Thursday, January 1, 2015 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Domestic credit to private sector by banks (% of GDP) | 50.838015774977 | 50.838015774977 | 50.838015774977 | 50.84 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Armed forces personnel, total | 1347300 | 1347300 | 1347300 | 1347300.00 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Imports of goods and services (% of GDP) | 15.27706530395 | 15.27706530395 | 15.27706530395 | 15.28 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Hospital beds (per 1,000 people) | 2.77 | 2.77 | 2.77 | 2.77 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Central government debt, total (% of GDP) | 95.955800865798 | 95.955800865798 | 95.955800865798 | 95.96 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Exports of goods and services (% of GDP) | 12.411148630127 | 12.411148630127 | 12.411148630127 | 12.41 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Unemployment with advanced education (% of total labor force with advanced education) | 3.032 | 3.032 | 3.032 | 3.03 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | GDP (current US$) | 18295019000000 | 18295019000000 | 18295019000000 | 18295019000000.00 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | GDP growth (annual %) | 2.9455504545523 | 2.9455504545523 | 2.9455504545523 | 2.95 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Real interest rate (%) | 2.3105146405984 | 2.3105146405984 | 2.3105146405984 | 2.31 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Consumer price index (2010 = 100) | 108.69572196069 | 108.69572196069 | 108.69572196069 | 108.70 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Fertility rate, total (births per woman) | 1.8435 | 1.8435 | 1.8435 | 1.84 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Inflation, consumer prices (annual %) | 0.11862713555245 | 0.11862713555245 | 0.11862713555245 | 0.12 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Lending interest rate (%) | 3.26 | 3.26 | 3.26 | 3.26 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Labor force, total | 160854617 | 160854617 | 160854617 | 160854617.00 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Unemployment, total (% of total labor force) (national estimate) | 5.28 | 5.28 | 5.28 | 5.28 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Time required to build a warehouse (days) | 80.6 | 80.6 | 80.6 | 80.60 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Time required to start a business (days) | 5.6 | 5.6 | 5.6 | 5.60 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Current account balance (% of GDP) | -2.2325584903738 | -2.2325584903738 | -2.2325584903738 | -2.23 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Population, total | 320738994 | 320738994 | 320738994 | 320738994.00 | Medium |
| Wednesday, January 1, 2014 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Population, total | 318386329 | 318386329 | 318386329 | 318386329.00 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Domestic credit to private sector by banks (% of GDP) | 49.568062943667 | 49.568062943667 | 49.568062943667 | 49.57 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Armed forces personnel, total | 1381250 | 1381250 | 1381250 | 1381250.00 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Imports of goods and services (% of GDP) | 16.398355124204 | 16.398355124204 | 16.398355124204 | 16.40 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Lending interest rate (%) | 3.25 | 3.25 | 3.25 | 3.25 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Central government debt, total (% of GDP) | 95.453823680846 | 95.453823680846 | 95.453823680846 | 95.45 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Hospital beds (per 1,000 people) | 2.8 | 2.8 | 2.8 | 2.80 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Exports of goods and services (% of GDP) | 13.508214213223 | 13.508214213223 | 13.508214213223 | 13.51 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Unemployment with advanced education (% of total labor force with advanced education) | 3.691 | 3.691 | 3.691 | 3.69 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | GDP (current US$) | 17608138000000 | 17608138000000 | 17608138000000 | 17608138000000.00 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | GDP growth (annual %) | 2.5238198144198 | 2.5238198144198 | 2.5238198144198 | 2.52 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Real interest rate (%) | 1.4825613905923 | 1.4825613905923 | 1.4825613905923 | 1.48 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Consumer price index (2010 = 100) | 108.56693211896 | 108.56693211896 | 108.56693211896 | 108.57 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Fertility rate, total (births per woman) | 1.8625 | 1.8625 | 1.8625 | 1.86 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Inflation, consumer prices (annual %) | 1.6222229774082 | 1.6222229774082 | 1.6222229774082 | 1.62 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Labor force, total | 159771895 | 159771895 | 159771895 | 159771895.00 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Unemployment, total (% of total labor force) (national estimate) | 6.168 | 6.168 | 6.168 | 6.17 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Time required to build a warehouse (days) | 80.6 | 80.6 | 80.6 | 80.60 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Time required to start a business (days) | 5.6 | 5.6 | 5.6 | 5.60 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Current account balance (% of GDP) | -2.1011761720632 | -2.1011761720632 | -2.1011761720632 | -2.10 | Medium |
| Tuesday, January 1, 2013 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Population, total | 316059947 | 316059947 | 316059947 | 316059947.00 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Domestic credit to private sector by banks (% of GDP) | 49.08047507582 | 49.08047507582 | 49.08047507582 | 49.08 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Armed forces personnel, total | 1433150 | 1433150 | 1433150 | 1433150.00 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Imports of goods and services (% of GDP) | 16.387814403007 | 16.387814403007 | 16.387814403007 | 16.39 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Lending interest rate (%) | 3.25 | 3.25 | 3.25 | 3.25 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Central government debt, total (% of GDP) | 95.322114632447 | 95.322114632447 | 95.322114632447 | 95.32 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Hospital beds (per 1,000 people) | 2.86 | 2.86 | 2.86 | 2.86 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Exports of goods and services (% of GDP) | 13.553491881815 | 13.553491881815 | 13.553491881815 | 13.55 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Unemployment with advanced education (% of total labor force with advanced education) | 4.322 | 4.322 | 4.322 | 4.32 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | GDP (current US$) | 16880683000000 | 16880683000000 | 16880683000000 | 16880683000000.00 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | GDP growth (annual %) | 2.1178300991985 | 2.1178300991985 | 2.1178300991985 | 2.12 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Real interest rate (%) | 1.5222133886192 | 1.5222133886192 | 1.5222133886192 | 1.52 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Consumer price index (2010 = 100) | 106.83384887487 | 106.83384887487 | 106.83384887487 | 106.83 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Fertility rate, total (births per woman) | 1.8575 | 1.8575 | 1.8575 | 1.86 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Inflation, consumer prices (annual %) | 1.4648326556272 | 1.4648326556272 | 1.4648326556272 | 1.46 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Labor force, total | 159061993 | 159061993 | 159061993 | 159061993.00 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Unemployment, total (% of total labor force) (national estimate) | 7.375 | 7.375 | 7.375 | 7.38 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Time required to build a warehouse (days) | 80.6 | 80.6 | 80.6 | 80.60 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Time required to start a business (days) | 6.2 | 6.2 | 6.2 | 6.20 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Current account balance (% of GDP) | -2.010907970963 | -2.010907970963 | -2.010907970963 | -2.01 | Medium |
| Sunday, January 1, 2012 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Current account balance (% of GDP) | -2.5723684736714 | -2.5723684736714 | -2.5723684736714 | -2.57 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Population, total | 313877662 | 313877662 | 313877662 | 313877662.00 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Domestic credit to private sector by banks (% of GDP) | 49.898497855711 | 49.898497855711 | 49.898497855711 | 49.90 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Armed forces personnel, total | 1492200 | 1492200 | 1492200 | 1492200.00 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Imports of goods and services (% of GDP) | 17.037788306488 | 17.037788306488 | 17.037788306488 | 17.04 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Lending interest rate (%) | 3.25 | 3.25 | 3.25 | 3.25 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Central government debt, total (% of GDP) | 93.648862401001 | 93.648862401001 | 93.648862401001 | 93.65 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Hospital beds (per 1,000 people) | 2.91 | 2.91 | 2.91 | 2.91 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Exports of goods and services (% of GDP) | 13.644051268705 | 13.644051268705 | 13.644051268705 | 13.64 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Unemployment with advanced education (% of total labor force with advanced education) | 4.741 | 4.741 | 4.741 | 4.74 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | GDP (current US$) | 16253970000000 | 16253970000000 | 16253970000000 | 16253970000000.00 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Consumer price index (2010 = 100) | 105.29150453287 | 105.29150453287 | 105.29150453287 | 105.29 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | GDP growth (annual %) | 2.289113387679 | 2.289113387679 | 2.289113387679 | 2.29 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Real interest rate (%) | 1.3624637497657 | 1.3624637497657 | 1.3624637497657 | 1.36 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Fertility rate, total (births per woman) | 1.8805 | 1.8805 | 1.8805 | 1.88 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Inflation, consumer prices (annual %) | 2.0693372652607 | 2.0693372652607 | 2.0693372652607 | 2.07 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Labor force, total | 158720710 | 158720710 | 158720710 | 158720710.00 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Unemployment, total (% of total labor force) (national estimate) | 8.069 | 8.069 | 8.069 | 8.07 | Medium |
| Saturday, January 1, 2011 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Current account balance (% of GDP) | -2.9186206532266 | -2.9186206532266 | -2.9186206532266 | -2.92 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Population, total | 311583481 | 311583481 | 311583481 | 311583481.00 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Domestic credit to private sector by banks (% of GDP) | 50.625949783929 | 50.625949783929 | 50.625949783929 | 50.63 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Armed forces personnel, total | 1520100 | 1520100 | 1520100 | 1520100.00 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Imports of goods and services (% of GDP) | 17.279014793331 | 17.279014793331 | 17.279014793331 | 17.28 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Lending interest rate (%) | 3.25 | 3.25 | 3.25 | 3.25 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Hospital beds (per 1,000 people) | 2.94 | 2.94 | 2.94 | 2.94 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Central government debt, total (% of GDP) | 89.546371694078 | 89.546371694078 | 89.546371694078 | 89.55 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Exports of goods and services (% of GDP) | 13.563463782583 | 13.563463782583 | 13.563463782583 | 13.56 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Unemployment with advanced education (% of total labor force with advanced education) | 5.136 | 5.136 | 5.136 | 5.14 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | GDP (current US$) | 15599732000000 | 15599732000000 | 15599732000000 | 15599732000000.00 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Consumer price index (2010 = 100) | 103.15684156862 | 103.15684156862 | 103.15684156862 | 103.16 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | GDP growth (annual %) | 1.564406854383 | 1.564406854383 | 1.564406854383 | 1.56 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Real interest rate (%) | 1.1628986522836 | 1.1628986522836 | 1.1628986522836 | 1.16 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Fertility rate, total (births per woman) | 1.8945 | 1.8945 | 1.8945 | 1.89 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Inflation, consumer prices (annual %) | 3.156841568622 | 3.156841568622 | 3.156841568622 | 3.16 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Labor force, total | 157728109 | 157728109 | 157728109 | 157728109.00 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Unemployment, total (% of total labor force) (national estimate) | 8.949 | 8.949 | 8.949 | 8.95 | Medium |
| Friday, January 1, 2010 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Current account balance (% of GDP) | -2.8706414544888 | -2.8706414544888 | -2.8706414544888 | -2.87 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Population, total | 309327143 | 309327143 | 309327143 | 309327143.00 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Domestic credit to private sector by banks (% of GDP) | 52.271716773181 | 52.271716773181 | 52.271716773181 | 52.27 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Armed forces personnel, total | 1569417 | 1569417 | 1569417 | 1569417.00 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Imports of goods and services (% of GDP) | 15.878527508625 | 15.878527508625 | 15.878527508625 | 15.88 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Lending interest rate (%) | 3.25 | 3.25 | 3.25 | 3.25 | Medium |
| 00:00 | USAUSA | Hospital beds (per 1,000 people) | 3.03 | 3.03 | 3.03 | 3.03 | Medium |
