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Data from FRED. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
United StatesUS Personal Consumption Expenditures held to 22,059.8 Billions USD in April 2026
FREDMonthlyReleased May 2026
US Personal Consumption Expenditures held to 22,059.8 Billions USD in April 2026, released May 2026.
Latest Release
22059.800000
Actual
—
Consensus
22059.800000
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USD/JPY | ▼ Inverse | −0.43 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.36 | COMMODITIES | Moves against | → View |
| GOOGL | ▼ Inverse | −0.32 | STOCKS | Moves against | → View |
| AUD/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.31 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Personal Consumption Expenditures (United States) was reported at 22,059.80 Billions USD in April 2026. The reading was unchanged from the previous release. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 21,543.91 Billions USD, ranging from 21,123.80 Billions USD to 22,059.80 Billions USD across 10 releases. This is classified as a medium-impact indicator released on a monthly basis.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 21,943.93 Billions USD, up from the prior three at 21,544.13 Billions USD. Volatility over the past year (σ 302.75 Billions USD) is comparable than the prior year (σ 293.26 Billions USD). In May readings over the past 3 years, Personal Consumption Expenditures has averaged 20,857.60 Billions USD.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with USD/JPY (Bearish USD). A secondary relationship exists with XAU/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish XAU).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update May 2026.
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Personal Consumption Expenditures - US
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About Personal Consumption Expenditures — United States
DEFINITION
US Personal Consumption Expenditures reached 22059.800000 billion USD in May, up from April’s 21903.700000 billion USD, marking a steady increase. This rise continues the expansion trend seen since August 2025, reflecting sustained consumer spending growth. Market focus remains on upcoming inflation data and Federal Reserve policy signals. Updated 6/26/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. Surprises against consensus can drive short-term moves, particularly when the print breaks an established trend. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (May 2026): actual 22,059.8 Billions USD. Prior reading (Apr 2026): 21,903.7 Billions USD. Before that (Mar 2026): 21,868.3 Billions USD.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with USD/JPY (Bearish USD, r=-0.43) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.
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