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US Trade Weighted US Dollar Index (Broad) held to 119.51 in June 2026.
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.77 | FOREX | Bearish EUR | → View |
| USD/CHF | ▲ Direct | +0.73 | FOREX | Bullish USD | → View |
| AUD/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.69 | FOREX | Bearish AUD | → View |
| GBP/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.68 | FOREX | Bearish GBP | → View |
| NZD/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.68 | FOREX | Bearish NZD | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
Trade Weighted US Dollar Index (Broad) (United States) was reported at 119.51 Index Jan 2006=100 in June 2026. The reading was unchanged from the previous release. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 119.83 Index Jan 2006=100, ranging from 117.44 Index Jan 2006=100 to 121.92 Index Jan 2006=100 across 248 releases. This is classified as a high-impact indicator released on a daily basis.
The trailing three releases averaged 119.85 Index Jan 2006=100, down from the prior three at 120.03 Index Jan 2006=100. Volatility over the past year (σ 1.05 Index Jan 2006=100) is lower than the prior year (σ 2.54 Index Jan 2006=100). In June readings over the past 3 years, Trade Weighted US Dollar Index (Broad) has averaged 121.22 Index Jan 2006=100.
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with EUR/USD (Bearish EUR). A secondary relationship exists with USD/CHF, positively correlated (Bullish USD).
Same-country events in the next 14 days include Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index (Jun 18) and Initial Jobless Claims (Jun 18).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update June 2026.
The US Trade Weighted US Dollar Index (Broad) declined to 119.507300 in June, down from May’s 120.117400, marking a modest retreat in the dollar’s broad strength. This decrease reflects a slight easing after May’s peak, indicating reduced dollar demand against a basket of currencies. Market participants will watch upcoming economic data and Federal Reserve signals for further direction. Updated 6/16/26
Trade-balance and tariff data inform exchange-rate fundamentals and feed directly into GDP via the net-exports channel. Surprises against consensus typically move rates and currencies on release. Released daily.
Latest reading (Jun 2026): actual 119.5 Index Jan 2006=100. Prior reading (Jun 2026): 120.1 Index Jan 2006=100. Before that (Jun 2026): 119.9 Index Jan 2006=100.
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with EUR/USD (Bearish EUR, r=-0.77) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.
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| Tuesday, June 16, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12:30 | Building Permits MoM | -0.7 | 4.4 | -0.6 | -0.45 | Medium | |
| 12:30 | Building Permits | 1.413 | 1.423 | 1.42 | 1.42 | High | |
| 12:30 | Import Prices YoY | 6.7 | 4.2 | 6 | 6.35 | Low | |
| 12:30 | Housing Starts MoM | -15.4 | -8.5 | -2 | -8.70 | Medium | |
| 12:30 | Housing Starts | 1.177 | 1.392 | 1.43 | 1.30 | High | |
| 12:30 | Export Prices YoY | 11.2 | 8.8 | 10.4 | 10.80 | Low | |
| 12:30 | Import Prices MoM | 1.9 | 2 | 1 | 1.45 | Medium | |
| 12:30 | Export Prices MoM | 1.3 | 3.5 | 1.2 | 1.25 | Medium | |
| 16:00 | Atlanta Fed GDPNow | 2.8 | 3.3 | 3.3 | 3.18 | Medium | |
| 20:30 | API Crude Oil Stock Change | -8.33 | -9.119 | -4.5 | -6.42 | Medium | |
| Wednesday, June 17, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:30 | Retail Sales MoM | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.70 | High | |
| 12:30 | Retail Sales Ex Gas/Autos MoM | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.50 | Low | |
| 12:30 | Retail Sales YoY | 6.9 | 4.8 | 4 | 5.45 | Low | |
| 12:30 | Retail Sales Ex Autos MoM | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.65 | Medium | |
| 14:00 | Business Inventories MoM | 0.5 | 1 | 0.5 | 0.50 | Medium | |
| 14:00 | Pending Home Sales YoY | 4.8 | 3.2 | 3 | 3.90 | Medium | |
| 14:00 | Pending Home Sales MoM | 3.8 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 2.30 | Medium | |
| 14:00 | Retail Inventories Ex Autos MoM | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.60 | Low | |
| 14:30 | EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change | -8.262 | -7.228 | -4.6 | -4.08 | Medium | |
| 14:30 | EIA Gasoline Stocks Change | -0.906 | 0.186 | -1 | -1.94 | Medium | |
| 14:30 | EIA Distillate Stocks Change | 0.951 | -0.2 | -0.5 | -0.39 | Low | |
| 15:00 | Atlanta Fed GDPNow | 3 | 2.8 | 2.8 | 2.68 | Medium | |
| 18:00 | Fed Interest Rate Decision | 3.75 | 3.75 | 3.75 | 3.75 | High | |
| Thursday, June 18, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:30 | Continuing Jobless Claims | 1795 | 1800 | 1803.50 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index | -0.4 | 10 | 14.05 | Medium | ||
| 12:30 | Jobless Claims 4-Week Average | 219 | 223 | 221.50 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | Initial Jobless Claims | 229 | 225 | 220.00 | Medium | ||
| 14:00 | Leading Index MoM | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.10 | Medium | ||
| 20:00 | Net Long-Term TIC Flows | 81.3 | 75 | 46.95 | Medium | ||