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US Crude Oil Imports climbed to 6,198 Thousand Barrels/Day in July 2026, up 515 Thousand Barrels/Day from June's 5,683 Thousand Barrels/Day reading.
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.43 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| GBP/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.35 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| USD/CHF | ▲ Direct | +0.34 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| AUD/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.28 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| USD/CAD | ▲ Direct | +0.26 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
Crude Oil Imports (United States) was reported at 6,198.00 Thousand Barrels/Day in July 2026. The reading rose from the previous value of 5,683.00 Thousand Barrels/Day. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 6,030.31 Thousand Barrels/Day, ranging from 4,953.00 Thousand Barrels/Day to 7,194.00 Thousand Barrels/Day across 49 releases. This is classified as a medium-impact indicator released on a weekly basis.
The trailing three releases averaged 5,895.67 Thousand Barrels/Day, up from the prior three at 5,532.33 Thousand Barrels/Day. Volatility over the past year (σ 525.91 Thousand Barrels/Day) is higher than the prior year (σ 464.54 Thousand Barrels/Day). In July readings over the past 3 years, Crude Oil Imports has averaged 6,240.77 Thousand Barrels/Day.
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with EUR/USD (Bearish EUR). A secondary relationship exists with GBP/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish GBP).
The next release is scheduled for August 26, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Chicago Fed National Activity Index (Aug 24) and Fed Barkin Speech (Aug 25).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update July 2026.
US Crude Oil Imports fell sharply to -1.754 million barrels in August, reversing July’s 1.768 million barrels. This marks a significant contraction in imports from July to August. Market focus now shifts to how this decline will influence energy prices and supply dynamics. Updated 8/19/26
Trade-balance and tariff data inform exchange-rate fundamentals and feed directly into GDP via the net-exports channel. Surprises against consensus can drive short-term moves, particularly when the print breaks an established trend. Released weekly.
Latest reading (Jul 2026): actual 6,198 Thousand Barrels/Day. Prior reading (Jul 2026): 5,683 Thousand Barrels/Day. Before that (Jul 2026): 5,806 Thousand Barrels/Day.
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially lower reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with EUR/USD (Bearish EUR, r=-0.43) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.
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| Monday, August 24, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12:30 | Chicago Fed National Activity Index | -0.02 | 0.1 | 0.32 | Medium | ||
| Tuesday, August 25, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 13:00 | House Price Index | 442.4 | 442.8 | 442.65 | Low | ||
| 13:00 | S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price MoM | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.65 | Low | ||
| 13:00 | S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price YoY | 1.6 | 1.7 | 1.60 | Medium | ||
| 13:00 | House Price Index YoY | 2.2 | 2.2 | 2.15 | Low | ||
| 13:00 | House Price Index MoM | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.20 | Low | ||
| 14:00 | Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index | 5 | 7 | 11.50 | Low | ||
| 14:00 | New Home Sales | 1.6 | -1.3 | -1.30 | Medium | ||
| 14:00 | Richmond Fed Services Index | -3 | -1 | 2.00 | Low | ||
| 14:00 | Richmond Fed Manufacturing Shipments Index | 8 | 7 | 15.50 | Low | ||
| 14:00 | CB Consumer Confidence | 90.8 | 90.3 | 90.90 | High | ||
| Wednesday, August 26, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:30 | Non Defense Goods Orders Ex Air | 0.9 | 0.6 | -0.15 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | Durable Goods Orders MoM | 0.3 | 0.7 | 2.90 | High | ||
| 12:30 | Durable Goods Orders Ex Transp MoM | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.80 | Medium | ||
| 12:30 | PCE Price Index MoM | -0.1 | 0.1 | 0.05 | Medium | ||
| 12:30 | Durable Goods Orders Ex Defense MoM | 0.3 | 0.1 | 3.05 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | Corporate Profits QoQ | 0.5 | 0.7 | -2.35 | Medium | ||
| 12:30 | Core PCE Price Index YoY | 3.3 | 3.3 | 3.30 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | Core PCE Price Index MoM | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.15 | High | ||
| 12:30 | PCE Price Index YoY | 3.7 | 3.7 | 3.70 | Medium | ||
| 12:30 | Personal Income MoM | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.10 | High | ||
| 12:30 | Personal Spending MoM | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.15 | High | ||
| 12:30 | Real Consumer Spending | 3.2 | 3.2 | 3.20 | Low | ||
| Thursday, August 27, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:30 | Goods Trade Balance Adv | -101.4 | -99 | -99.00 | Medium | ||
| 12:30 | Jobless Claims 4-Week Average | 204 | 203 | 202.00 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | Initial Jobless Claims | 206 | 209 | 211.00 | Medium | ||
| 12:30 | Retail Inventories Ex Autos MoM | -0.4 | 0 | 0.00 | Medium | ||
| 12:30 | Wholesale Inventories MoM | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.10 | Medium | ||
| 12:30 | Continuing Jobless Claims | 1799 | 1811 | 1814.00 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | Goods Trade Balance | -101.41 | -99.9 | -99.90 | Medium | ||
| 15:00 | Kansas Fed Manufacturing Index | 17 | 14 | 14.00 | Low | ||
| 15:00 | Kansas Fed Composite Index | 9 | 8 | 8.00 | Low | ||