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Data from U.S. Energy Information Administration. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
United StatesUS Crude Oil Imports fell to 5,877 Thousand Barrels/Day in September 2026
U.S. Energy Information AdministrationWeeklyReleased September 2026
US Crude Oil Imports fell to 5,877 Thousand Barrels/Day in September 2026, down 1,181 Thousand Barrels/Day from August's 7,058 Thousand Barrels/Day reading.
Latest Release
5877.000000
Actual
—
Consensus
7058.000000
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.42 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| GBP/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.33 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| USD/CHF | ▲ Direct | +0.32 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| AUD/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.29 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Crude Oil Imports (United States) was reported at 5,877.00 Thousand Barrels/Day in September 2026. The reading fell from the previous value of 7,058.00 Thousand Barrels/Day. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 6,108.85 Thousand Barrels/Day, ranging from 4,953.00 Thousand Barrels/Day to 7,339.00 Thousand Barrels/Day across 48 releases. This is classified as a medium-impact indicator released on a weekly basis.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 6,586.33 Thousand Barrels/Day, up from the prior three at 6,507.00 Thousand Barrels/Day. Volatility over the past year (σ 581.27 Thousand Barrels/Day) is higher than the prior year (σ 465.83 Thousand Barrels/Day). In September readings over the past 3 years, Crude Oil Imports has averaged 6,393.00 Thousand Barrels/Day.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with EUR/USD (Bearish EUR). A secondary relationship exists with GBP/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish GBP).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for October 28, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Chicago Fed National Activity Index (Oct 26) and Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index (Oct 26).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update September 2026.
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Crude Oil Imports - US
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About Crude Oil Imports — United States
DEFINITION
US Crude Oil Imports rose to 0.837 million barrels in October, reversing September’s decline of -0.596 million barrels. October’s increase signals a rebound after contraction the previous month. Market focus now shifts to upcoming inventory data and Federal Reserve policy amid fluctuating energy demand. Updated 10/21/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Trade-balance and tariff data inform exchange-rate fundamentals and feed directly into GDP via the net-exports channel. Surprises against consensus can drive short-term moves, particularly when the print breaks an established trend. Released weekly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Sep 2026): actual 5,877 Thousand Barrels/Day. Prior reading (Sep 2026): 7,058 Thousand Barrels/Day. Before that (Sep 2026): 6,824 Thousand Barrels/Day.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially lower reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with EUR/USD (Bearish EUR, r=-0.42) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.
Σ
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Economic Calendar - US Events
| Friday, October 23, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13:45 | US | S&P Global Composite PMI | 57.6 | 58.4 | 57.6 | 57.60 | Medium |
| 13:45 | US | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI | 56 | 55.9 | 55.5 | 55.75 | Medium |
| 13:45 | US | S&P Global Services PMI | 57.9 | 58.8 | 58 | 57.95 | Medium |
| 14:00 | US | Michigan Consumer Sentiment | 48 | 48.1 | 46.3 | 47.15 | High |
| 14:00 | US | Michigan Current Conditions | 46.7 | 50.9 | 44.7 | 45.70 | Low |
| 14:00 | US | Michigan Consumer Expectations | 48.8 | 46.3 | 47.3 | 48.05 | Low |
| 14:00 | US | Michigan 5 Year Inflation Expectations | 3.5 | 3.4 | 3.5 | 3.50 | Low |
| 14:00 | US | Michigan 1 Year Inflation Expectations | 4.7 | 4.6 | 4.7 | 4.70 | Low |
| Monday, October 26, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:30 | US | Chicago Fed National Activity Index | -0.04 | -0.1 | -0.10 | Medium | |
| 14:30 | US | Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index | 9.8 | 7 | 8.15 | Medium | |
| 15:30 | US | 3-Month Bill Auction | 4.095 | 4.009 | 4.01 | Low | |
| Tuesday, October 27, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:00 | US | Building Permits MoM | -2.1 | -0.7 | -0.70 | Medium | |
| 12:00 | US | Building Permits | 1.403 | 1.39 | 1.39 | Low | |
| 12:30 | US | Non Defense Goods Orders Ex Air | 1.6 | 0.4 | 0.45 | Low | |
| 12:30 | US | Durable Goods Orders Ex Defense MoM | 0.1 | 0 | -0.85 | High | |
| 12:30 | US | Durable Goods Orders MoM | 0.2 | 0.6 | -0.50 | High | |
| 12:30 | US | Durable Goods Orders Ex Transp MoM | 0.3 | 0.6 | 0.50 | High | |
| 13:00 | US | S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price YoY | 2.5 | 2.6 | 2.75 | Medium | |
| 13:00 | US | House Price Index | 443.5 | 444.4 | 444.90 | Low | |
| 13:00 | US | House Price Index YoY | 2.6 | 2.1 | 2.30 | Low | |
| 13:00 | US | House Price Index MoM | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.25 | Low | |
| 13:00 | US | S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price MoM | 0 | -0.1 | 0.05 | Low | |
| 14:00 | US | Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index | -2 | -3 | -5.50 | Low | |
| 14:00 | US | Richmond Fed Services Index | 0 | -2 | -2.50 | Low | |
| 14:00 | US | Richmond Fed Manufacturing Shipments Index | -5 | -7 | -4.00 | Low | |
| 14:00 | US | New Home Sales | 0.684 | 0.66 | 0.66 | High | |
| 14:00 | US | CB Consumer Confidence | 81.9 | 80.5 | 79.70 | Medium | |
| 14:00 | US | New Home Sales MoM | 6.4 | -3.5 | -3.50 | High | |
| 14:30 | US | Dallas Fed Services Revenues Index | -0.9 | -2 | -1.25 | Low | |
| 14:30 | US | Dallas Fed Services Index | -1.8 | -3 | -0.70 | Low | |
| 17:00 | US | Money Supply | 23.34 | 23.4 | 23.57 | Low | |
| Wednesday, October 28, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:30 | US | Wholesale Inventories MoM | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.35 | Medium | |
| 12:30 | US | Retail Inventories Ex Autos MoM | 0 | -0.1 | -0.35 | Medium | |
| 12:30 | US | Goods Trade Balance | -132.1 | -128.7 | -129.30 | High | |
| 18:00 | US | Fed Interest Rate Decision | 4 | 4 | 4.00 | High | |