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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
United StatesUS Non-Oil Exports MoM fell to -3.3% in January 2025
FMPMonthlyReleased February 2025
US Non-Oil Exports MoM fell to -3.3% in January 2025, released February 2025, down 4.6% from December's 1.3% reading. The reading missed the -0.3% consensus by 3.0%.
Latest Release
-3.300000
Actual
-0.300000
Consensus
1.300000
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.50 | INDEX | Bullish Stocks | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.45 | FOREX | Bearish EUR | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.40 | FOREX | Bullish USD | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.35 | COMMODITIES | Bearish Gold | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Watch | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Non-Oil Exports MoM (United States) was reported at -3.3% in January 2025. This missed the market consensus of -0.3% by 3%. The reading fell from the previous value of 1.3%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with S&P 500 (Bullish Stocks). A secondary relationship exists with EUR/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish EUR).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include NY Empire State Manufacturing Index (Jun 15) and Industrial Production MoM (Jun 15).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update February 2025.
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Non-Oil Exports MoM - US
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About Non-Oil Exports MoM — United States
DEFINITION
Non-Oil Exports MoM (Month-over-Month) is a financial indicator that measures the change in the value of a country's exports, excluding oil and related products, from one month to the next. This indicator provides valuable insights into a country's trade performance and can be used to assess the strength of its non-oil export sector. It is a key metric for investors and policymakers in evaluating a country's economic growth and diversification efforts.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Trade-balance and tariff data inform exchange-rate fundamentals and feed directly into GDP via the net-exports channel. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT'S NEXT
This indicator correlates most strongly with S&P 500 (Bullish Stocks, r=0.50) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.