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US Producer & Import Prices MoM held to 0.1% in January 2025, released February 2025. The reading matched the 0.1% consensus.
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.50 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.45 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.40 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.35 | COMMODITIES | Moves against | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
Producer & Import Prices MoM (United States) was reported at 0.1% in January 2025. This matched the market consensus of 0.1% exactly.
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with S&P 500 (Bullish Stocks). A secondary relationship exists with EUR/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish EUR).
Same-country events in the next 14 days include Jobless Claims 4-Week Average (Oct 22) and Continuing Jobless Claims (Oct 22).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update February 2025.
Producer & Import Prices MoM is a monthly financial indicator that measures the change in prices of goods and services produced and imported by a country's businesses. It provides valuable insights into the inflationary pressures in the economy and is closely monitored by investors, policymakers, and businesses to make informed decisions. A positive change in this indicator indicates rising prices, while a negative change suggests a decrease in prices. This indicator is an important tool for assessing the overall health of a country's economy and its impact on consumer spending and business profitability.
Trade-balance and tariff data inform exchange-rate fundamentals and feed directly into GDP via the net-exports channel. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
This indicator correlates most strongly with S&P 500 (Bullish Stocks, r=0.50) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.
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| Wednesday, October 21, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14:30 | EIA Gasoline Stocks Change | -2.952 | 3.518 | -0.4 | -1.68 | Medium | |
| 14:30 | EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change | -3.061 | -8.557 | -0.8 | -1.93 | Medium | |
| 14:30 | EIA Distillate Stocks Change | 1.675 | -2.527 | -1.2 | 0.24 | Low | |
| Thursday, October 22, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 14:00 | Leading Index MoM | -0.1 | -0.1 | -0.10 | Low | ||
| 14:30 | EIA Natural Gas Stocks Change | 67 | 80 | 80.00 | Low | ||
| 15:00 | Kansas Fed Composite Index | 14 | 11 | 11.00 | Low | ||
| 15:00 | Kansas Fed Manufacturing Index | 20 | 18 | 18.00 | Low | ||
| Friday, October 23, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 13:45 | S&P Global Composite PMI | 58.4 | 57.6 | 57.60 | Medium | ||
| 13:45 | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI | 55.9 | 55.5 | 55.50 | Medium | ||
| 13:45 | S&P Global Services PMI | 58.8 | 58 | 58.00 | Medium | ||
| 14:00 | Michigan Consumer Sentiment | 48.1 | 47.6 | 47.60 | High | ||
| 14:00 | Michigan Current Conditions | 50.9 | 50.5 | 50.50 | Low | ||
| 14:00 | Michigan Consumer Expectations | 46.3 | 45.9 | 45.90 | Low | ||
| 14:00 | Michigan 5 Year Inflation Expectations | 3.4 | 3.5 | 3.50 | Low | ||
| 14:00 | Michigan 1 Year Inflation Expectations | 4.6 | 4.7 | 4.70 | Low | ||
| Monday, October 26, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:30 | Chicago Fed National Activity Index | -0.04 | -0.1 | -0.10 | Medium | ||
| 14:30 | Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index | 9.8 | 7 | 7.00 | Medium | ||
| 15:30 | 3-Month Bill Auction | 4.095 | 4.009 | 4.01 | Low | ||