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| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Action |
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Trade Balance (United States) was reported at -78.3 in September 2025. The reading missed the market consensus of -77.7 by 0.6, coming in below expectations. This represents a decline from the previous value of -59.1. Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with S&P 500 (Bullish Stocks) and negatively correlated with EUR/USD (Bearish EUR).
Multi-horizon symbol forecasts, Rolling-Surprise economic predictions, and programmatic API access.
Expected Zones · Trade Bias · Confidence Intervals · API Access · 1,456+ instruments
| Wednesday, April 15, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12:30 | Export Prices YoY | 5.6 | 3.8 | 5.9 | 5.75 | Low | |
| 12:30 | Import Prices MoM | 0.8 | 0.9 | 2 | 1.82 | Medium | |
| 12:30 | NY Empire State Manufacturing Index | 11 | -0.2 | -0.5 | 4.05 | Medium | |
| 12:30 | Export Prices MoM | 1.6 | 1.9 | 1.5 | 1.55 | Medium | |
| 12:30 | Import Prices YoY | 2.1 | 1 | 2 | 1.95 | Low | |
| 14:00 | NAHB Housing Market Index | 34 | 38 | 37 | 35.50 | Medium | |
| 14:30 | EIA Distillate Stocks Change | -3.122 | -3.144 | -2.4 | -2.76 | Low | |
| 14:30 | EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change | -0.913 | 3.081 | 0.2 | -0.36 | Medium | |
| 14:30 | EIA Gasoline Stocks Change | -6.328 | -1.589 | -2.1 | -4.21 | Medium | |
| 20:00 | Net Long-Term TIC Flows | 58.6 | 2.4 | 36.6 | 47.60 | Medium | |
| Thursday, April 16, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:30 | Initial Jobless Claims | 219 | 215 | 206.50 | High | ||
| 12:30 | Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index | 18.1 | 10 | 17.30 | Medium | ||
| 12:30 | Continuing Jobless Claims | 1794 | 1810 | 1807.00 | High | ||
| 12:30 | Jobless Claims 4-Week Average | 209.5 | 218 | 213.00 | High | ||
| 13:15 | Capacity Utilization | 76.3 | 76.3 | 76.45 | Low | ||
| 13:15 | Manufacturing Production MoM | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.30 | Low | ||
| 13:15 | Industrial Production MoM | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.25 | Medium | ||
| 13:15 | Industrial Production YoY | 1.4 | 1.8 | 1.45 | Low | ||
| 13:15 | Manufacturing Production YoY | 1.3 | 2 | 2.00 | Low | ||
| 14:30 | EIA Natural Gas Stocks Change | 50 | 55 | 64.50 | Low | ||