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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
United StatesUS Crude Oil Imports climbed to -0.05M in September 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased October 2026
US Crude Oil Imports climbed to -0.05M in September 2026, released October 2026, up 0.42M from August's -0.47M reading.
Latest Release
-0.053000
Actual
—
Consensus
-0.468000
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USD/CHF | ▲ Direct | +0.57 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| USD/CAD | ▲ Direct | +0.49 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.41 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.40 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| NZD/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.37 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Crude Oil Imports (United States) was reported at -0.05 million in October 2026. The reading rose from the previous value of -0.47 million. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through October 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged -0.02 million, ranging from -1.75 million to 1.77 million across 20 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged -0.05 million, down from the prior three at -0.05 million.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with USD/CHF (Bullish USD). A secondary relationship exists with USD/CAD, positively correlated (Bullish USD).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for October 15, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Fed Hammack Speech (Oct 12) and Budget Balance (Oct 12).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update October 2026.
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Crude Oil Imports - US
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About Crude Oil Imports — United States
DEFINITION
US Crude Oil Imports declined by -0.053 million barrels in September, improving from August’s -0.468 million barrels. This marks a smaller contraction compared to the previous month, indicating a moderation in import decreases. Market participants will watch upcoming inventory data for further clarity on supply dynamics. Updated 10/7/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Trade-balance and tariff data inform exchange-rate fundamentals and feed directly into GDP via the net-exports channel. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Oct 2026): actual -0.053 M. Prior reading (Sep 2026): -0.468 M. Before that (Sep 2026): 0.369 M.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with USD/CHF (Bullish USD, r=0.57) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.
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Economic Calendar - US Events
| Thursday, October 8, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12:30 | US | Continuing Jobless Claims | 1716 | 1699 | 1710 | 1713.00 | High |
| 12:30 | US | Jobless Claims 4-Week Average | 198 | 200.5 | 198 | 198.00 | High |
| 12:30 | US | Initial Jobless Claims | 197 | 199 | 200 | 198.50 | High |
| 14:00 | US | Wholesale Inventories MoM | 0.5 | 1.4 | 0.7 | 0.60 | Low |
| 14:30 | US | EIA Natural Gas Stocks Change | 85 | 64 | 79 | 82.00 | Low |
| 15:15 | US | Atlanta Fed GDPNow | 3.6 | 3.7 | 3.7 | 3.65 | Medium |
| Friday, October 9, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 14:00 | US | Michigan Consumer Sentiment | 46.3 | 48.1 | 47.6 | 46.95 | High |
| 14:00 | US | Michigan 5 Year Inflation Expectations | 3.5 | 3.4 | 3.5 | 3.50 | Low |
| 14:00 | US | Michigan Consumer Expectations | 47.3 | 46.3 | 45.9 | 46.60 | Low |
| 14:00 | US | Michigan Current Conditions | 44.7 | 50.9 | 50.5 | 47.60 | Low |
| 14:00 | US | Michigan 1 Year Inflation Expectations | 4.7 | 4.6 | 4.7 | 4.70 | Low |
| Monday, October 12, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 18:00 | US | Budget Balance | -167 | 210 | 217.90 | Medium | |
| Tuesday, October 13, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 10:00 | US | NFIB Business Optimism Index | 98.7 | 98 | 98.80 | Low | |
| 14:00 | US | Existing Home Sales MoM | -2 | -0.3 | -0.30 | High | |
| 14:00 | US | Existing Home Sales | 3.98 | 3.97 | 3.97 | High | |
| 15:30 | US | 3-Month Bill Auction | 4.05 | 4.009 | 4.01 | Low | |
| 18:00 | US | Budget Balance | -167 | 210 | 217.90 | Medium | |