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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
United StatesUS Auto Exports YoY fell to -13.7% in January 2025
FMPMonthlyReleased February 2025
US Auto Exports YoY fell to -13.7% in January 2025, released February 2025, down 7.9% from December's -5.8% reading. The reading missed the -3.8% consensus by 9.9%.
Latest Release
-13.700000
Actual
-3.800000
Consensus
-5.800000
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.50 | INDEX | Bullish Stocks | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.45 | FOREX | Bearish EUR | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.40 | FOREX | Bullish USD | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.35 | COMMODITIES | Bearish Gold | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Watch | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Auto Exports YoY (United States) was reported at -13.7% in January 2025. This missed the market consensus of -3.8% by 9.9%. The reading fell from the previous value of -5.8%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with S&P 500 (Bullish Stocks). A secondary relationship exists with EUR/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish EUR).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include NY Empire State Manufacturing Index (Jun 15) and Industrial Production MoM (Jun 15).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update February 2025.
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Auto Exports YoY - US
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About Auto Exports YoY — United States
DEFINITION
Auto Exports YoY is a financial indicator that measures the year-over-year change in the value of automobile exports from a particular country. It provides valuable insights into the performance of the automotive industry and the overall economy, as well as the competitiveness of a country's auto exports in the global market. This indicator is closely monitored by investors, policymakers, and industry experts as it can impact trade balances, foreign exchange rates, and economic growth.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Trade-balance and tariff data inform exchange-rate fundamentals and feed directly into GDP via the net-exports channel. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT'S NEXT
This indicator correlates most strongly with S&P 500 (Bullish Stocks, r=0.50) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.