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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
United StatesUS CB Consumer Confidence fell to 90.8 in July 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased July 2026
US CB Consumer Confidence fell to 90.8 in July 2026, down 1.4 from June's 92.2 reading. The reading matched the 92.4 consensus. CB Consumer Confidence has now declined for 3 consecutive months. Over the past 3 months, CB Consumer Confidence averaged 92.15, vs 91.75 in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 18th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
90.8
Actual
92.4
Consensus
92.2
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±2.53
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Jul 2026
Predicted: 91.9
Actual: 90.8
Error: +1.1
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NZD/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.68 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| USD/CAD | ▲ Direct | +0.64 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| USD/CHF | ▲ Direct | +0.61 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.58 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| GBP/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.57 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
CB Consumer Confidence (United States) was reported at 90.80 in July 2026. This missed the market consensus of 92.40 by 1.60. The reading fell from the previous value of 92.20. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through July 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 91.51, ranging from 84.50 to 97.40 across 11 releases. This is classified as a high-impact indicator released on a monthly basis.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending downward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 91.70, up from the prior three at 89.17. Volatility over the past year (σ 3.27) is lower than the prior year (σ 6.91). In July readings over the past 3 years, CB Consumer Confidence has averaged 96.10.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with NZD/USD (Bearish NZD). A secondary relationship exists with USD/CAD, positively correlated (Bullish USD). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 2.53.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include ISM Manufacturing PMI (Aug 3) and ISM Manufacturing Employment (Aug 3).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update July 2026.
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CB Consumer Confidence - US
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About CB Consumer Confidence — United States
DEFINITION
CB Consumer Confidence is a widely recognized financial indicator that measures the level of optimism or pessimism among consumers about the state of the economy. It is based on a monthly survey of thousands of households, providing valuable insights into consumer spending habits and overall economic trends. This indicator is closely monitored by investors, businesses, and policymakers as it can impact consumer behavior and influence market trends. A high CB Consumer Confidence reading indicates a positive outlook on the economy, while a low reading may suggest a more cautious approach to spending.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Sentiment surveys are forward-looking inputs that often lead hard data on output and hiring. Sharp swings can drive cross-asset repricing. Surprises against consensus can drive short-term moves, particularly when the print breaks an established trend. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jul 2026): actual 90.8, consensus 92.4. Prior reading (Jun 2026): 91.2. Before that (May 2026): 93.1.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with NZD/USD (Bearish NZD, r=-0.68) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.
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Economic Calendar - US Events
| Monday, August 3, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14:00 | US | ISM Manufacturing PMI | 53.3 | 54 | 54.00 | High | |
| 14:00 | US | ISM Manufacturing Employment | 49.7 | 49.8 | 49.80 | Medium | |
| 14:00 | US | Construction Spending MoM | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.20 | Low | |
| 14:00 | US | ISM Manufacturing Prices | 73 | 70 | 70.00 | Low | |
| 14:00 | US | ISM Manufacturing New Orders | 56 | 55.4 | 55.40 | Low | |
| Tuesday, August 4, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:30 | US | Balance of Trade | -77.6 | -73 | -72.70 | Medium | |
| 12:30 | US | Exports | 317.7 | 312 | 312.90 | Medium | |
| 12:30 | US | Imports | 395.3 | 385 | 385.35 | Medium | |
| 14:00 | US | Factory Orders MoM | -1.3 | 0.5 | 1.00 | Medium | |
| 14:00 | US | JOLTs Job Quits | 3.065 | 3.05 | 3.16 | Low | |
| 14:00 | US | Economic Optimism Index | 45.5 | 47.5 | 47.80 | Low | |
| 14:00 | US | JOLTs Job Openings | 7.594 | 7.25 | 7.26 | High | |
| 14:00 | US | Factory Orders ex Transportation | 1.9 | 0.5 | 0.95 | Low | |
| Wednesday, August 5, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:15 | US | ADP Employment Change | 98 | 75 | 75.00 | Medium | |
| 14:00 | US | ISM Services Business Activity | 55.4 | 56 | 57.20 | Low | |
| 14:00 | US | ISM Services PMI | 54 | 54.2 | 54.15 | High | |
| 14:00 | US | ISM Services Employment | 51.2 | 52 | 53.50 | Low | |
| 14:00 | US | ISM Services New Orders | 55.1 | 55.3 | 52.05 | Low | |
| 14:00 | US | ISM Services Prices | 67.7 | 66.2 | 66.05 | Low | |
| 14:00 | US | ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI | 54 | 54.2 | 54.15 | High | |
| Thursday, August 6, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 09:30 | US | Challenger Job Cuts | 45.849 | 59 | 59.00 | Low | |
| 12:30 | US | Initial Jobless Claims | 197 | 200 | 200.00 | Medium | |
| 12:30 | US | Jobless Claims 4-Week Average | 202.75 | 198 | 198.00 | Low | |
| 12:30 | US | Continuing Jobless Claims | 1782 | 1798 | 1798.00 | Low | |
| 12:30 | US | Unit Labour Costs QoQ | 1.8 | 2.7 | 2.70 | Medium | |
| 12:30 | US | Nonfarm Productivity QoQ | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0.70 | Medium | |