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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
United StatesUS Fed Balance Sheet climbed to 6.74 T in July 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased July 2026
US Fed Balance Sheet climbed to 6.74 T in July 2026, up 0.01 T from June's 6.73 T reading. The reading matched the 6.73 T consensus. Over the past 3 months, Fed Balance Sheet averaged 6.72 T, vs 6.63 T in the prior 3-month window. Fed Balance Sheet is now the highest in 9 months.
Latest Release
6.736
Actual
6.725
Consensus
6.725
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±1,545.99
across last 4 releases
Last Call
Jul 2026
Predicted: 6.73
Actual: 6.74
Error: -0.01
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
THE RELEASE
Fed Balance Sheet (United States) was reported at 6.74 T in September 2026. The reading rose from the previous value of 6.73 T. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through September 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 3,682,884.44 Millions USD, ranging from 6.54 Millions USD to 6,759,955.00 Millions USD across 94 releases. This is classified as a high-impact indicator released on a weekly basis.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 4,495,724.58 Millions USD, up from the prior three at 4,489,374.24 Millions USD. Volatility over the past year (σ 3,310,288.12 Millions USD) is comparable than the prior year (σ 3,395,191.56 Millions USD). In September readings over the past 3 years, Fed Total Assets (Balance Sheet) has averaged 4,140,562.53 Millions USD.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include Industrial Production MoM (Sep 18) and Fed Bowman Speech (Sep 18).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update September 2026.
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Fed Balance Sheet - US
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About Fed Balance Sheet — United States
DEFINITION
US Fed Total Assets (Balance Sheet) reached 6746548 million USD in September, up from August’s 6740619 million USD, marking a modest increase. The balance sheet expanded slightly after a period of minor fluctuations in August, reflecting ongoing asset accumulation. Market focus remains on the Fed’s balance sheet trajectory amid evolving monetary policy conditions. Updated 9/18/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released weekly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Sep 2026): actual 6,746,548 T. Prior reading (Sep 2026): 6,740,619 T. Before that (Sep 2026): 6,737,204 T.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook diverging from that direction. The 1-month and 3-month horizons disagree, suggesting a mixed signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - US Events
| Thursday, September 17, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12:30 | US | Housing Starts MoM | -2.6 | -9 | 9 | 3.20 | Medium |
| 12:30 | US | Building Permits MoM | -2.7 | 4.3 | -1.6 | -2.15 | Medium |
| 12:30 | US | Building Permits | 1.394 | 1.433 | 1.41 | 1.40 | High |
| 12:30 | US | Housing Starts | 1.275 | 1.309 | 1.31 | 1.29 | High |
| 12:30 | US | Continuing Jobless Claims | 1730 | 1769 | 1780 | 1755.00 | High |
| 12:30 | US | Initial Jobless Claims | 196 | 206 | 208 | 202.00 | High |
| 12:30 | US | Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index | 37.8 | 47.4 | 30.5 | 34.15 | Medium |
| 12:30 | US | Jobless Claims 4-Week Average | 203.25 | 206 | 206 | 204.63 | High |
| 13:50 | US | Atlanta Fed GDPNow | 5.1 | 5.1 | 5.1 | 5.10 | Medium |
| 14:00 | US | Pending Home Sales YoY | -4.7 | -2.2 | -0.7 | -2.70 | Medium |
| 14:00 | US | Pending Home Sales MoM | 0.3 | -2.6 | 2 | 1.15 | Medium |
| 14:30 | US | EIA Natural Gas Stocks Change | 44 | 40 | 49 | 46.50 | Low |
| Friday, September 18, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 13:15 | US | Industrial Production MoM | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.30 | Medium | |
| 13:15 | US | Capacity Utilization | 76.3 | 76.4 | 76.40 | Low | |
| 13:15 | US | Manufacturing Production YoY | 1.2 | 1.1 | 1.10 | Low | |
| 13:15 | US | Industrial Production YoY | 1.1 | 1 | 1.00 | Low | |
| 13:15 | US | Manufacturing Production MoM | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.30 | Low | |
| 14:00 | US | Leading Index MoM | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.10 | Low | |
| Monday, September 21, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:30 | US | Chicago Fed National Activity Index | -0.08 | 0.2 | 0.20 | Medium | |
| 15:30 | US | 3-Month Bill Auction | 3.97 | 3.909 | 3.91 | Low | |
| Tuesday, September 22, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 14:00 | US | Richmond Fed Manufacturing Shipments Index | 11 | 4 | 1.00 | Low | |
| 14:00 | US | Richmond Fed Services Index | -8 | -10 | -16.00 | Low | |
| 14:00 | US | Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index | 4 | -1 | -3.50 | Low | |