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US EIA Weekly Refinery Utilization Rates WoW fell to 0.2% in June 2026, down 2.7% from May's 2.9% reading.
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
EIA Weekly Refinery Utilization Rates WoW (United States) was reported at 0.6% in June 2026. The reading rose from the previous value of 0.2%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through June 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 0.11%, ranging from -6.7% to 3.4% across 45 releases.
The trailing three releases averaged 1%, up from the prior three at 0.77%. Volatility over the past year (σ 1.71%) is higher than the prior year (σ 0.96%). In June readings over the past 3 years, EIA Weekly Refinery Utilization Rates WoW has averaged 0.94%.
Same-country events in the next 14 days include OPEC Monthly Report (Jun 11) and Core PPI MoM (Jun 11).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update June 2026.
US EIA Weekly Refinery Utilization Rates rose 0.600000% in the week ending June 10, up from 0.200000% the prior week, marking a stronger increase in refinery activity. This gain follows a 0.2% rise in the previous week ending June 3, indicating continued expansion in refinery utilization. Market participants will watch upcoming energy data for further confirmation of this trend. Updated 6/10/26
Energy-supply and inventory data shape commodity-curve positioning and feed through to headline inflation and consumer-discretionary spending. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released weekly.
Latest reading (Jun 2026): actual 0.6 %. Prior reading (Jun 2026): 0.2 %. Before that (May 2026): 2.9 %.
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection.
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| Wednesday, June 10, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12:30 | Core Inflation Rate MoM | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.25 | High | |
| 12:30 | CPI | 335.12 | 333.02 | 335.11 | 335.12 | Medium | |
| 12:30 | CPI s.a | 333.979 | 332.407 | 333.7 | 333.84 | Medium | |
| 12:30 | Core Inflation Rate YoY | 2.9 | 2.8 | 2.9 | 2.90 | High | |
| 12:30 | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.50 | High | |
| 12:30 | Inflation Rate YoY | 4.2 | 3.8 | 4.2 | 4.20 | High | |
| 12:30 | CPI YoY | 4.2 | 3.8 | 4.2 | 4.20 | High | |
| 12:30 | CPI MoM | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.25 | High | |
| 14:30 | EIA Distillate Stocks Change | -0.2 | 1.502 | -0.5 | -0.35 | Low | |
| 14:30 | EIA Gasoline Stocks Change | 0.186 | 3.364 | -0.5 | -0.16 | Medium | |
| 14:30 | EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change | -7.228 | -7.974 | -4 | -5.61 | Medium | |
| 18:00 | Monthly Budget Statement | -293 | 215 | -275 | -284.00 | Medium | |
| 18:00 | Budget Balance | -293 | 215 | -282.9 | -287.95 | Medium | |
| Thursday, June 11, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:30 | Core PPI MoM | 1 | 0.5 | 0.50 | Medium | ||
| 12:30 | Producer Price Index YoY | 6 | 6.4 | 6.40 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | Initial Jobless Claims | 225 | 219 | 219.00 | Medium | ||
| 12:30 | Continuing Jobless Claims | 1777 | 1780 | 1780.00 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | Producer Price Index MoM | 1.4 | 0.7 | 0.70 | High | ||
| 12:30 | Core PPI YoY | 5.2 | 5.4 | 5.40 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | Jobless Claims 4-Week Average | 214.75 | 216.5 | 216.50 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | Producer Price Index | 156.496 | 157.5 | 157.50 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | PPI Ex Food, Energy and Trade YoY | 4.4 | 4.4 | 4.40 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | PPI Ex Food, Energy and Trade MoM | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.30 | Low | ||
| 14:30 | EIA Natural Gas Stocks Change | 95 | 101 | 101.00 | Low | ||
| Friday, June 12, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 14:00 | Michigan Current Conditions | 45.8 | 46.2 | 47.65 | Low | ||
| 14:00 | Michigan Inflation Expectations | 4.8 | 4.8 | 4.80 | Low | ||
| 14:00 | Michigan 5 Year Inflation Expectations | 3.9 | 3.8 | 3.80 | Low | ||
| 14:00 | Michigan Consumer Expectations | 44.1 | 44.3 | 44.10 | Low | ||
| 14:00 | Michigan Consumer Sentiment | 44.8 | 46 | 46.25 | High | ||
| Monday, June 15, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:30 | NY Empire State Manufacturing Index | 19.6 | 9 | 7.30 | Medium | ||
| 13:15 | Industrial Production MoM | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.55 | Medium | ||
| 13:15 | Capacity Utilization | 76.1 | 76 | 76.05 | Low | ||
| 13:15 | Industrial Production YoY | 1.4 | 1.9 | 1.55 | Low | ||
| 13:15 | Manufacturing Production MoM | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.35 | Low | ||
| 13:15 | Manufacturing Production YoY | 1.3 | 1.7 | 1.35 | Low | ||
| 14:00 | NAHB Housing Market Index | 37 | 36 | 36.50 | Medium | ||