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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
United StatesUS Car Production MoM climbed to -7.7% in January 2025
FMPMonthlyReleased February 2025
US Car Production MoM climbed to -7.7% in January 2025, released February 2025, up 11.8% from December's -19.5% reading. The reading missed the -5.0% consensus by 2.7%.
Latest Release
-7.700000
Actual
-5.000000
Consensus
-19.500000
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.50 | INDEX | Bullish Stocks | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.45 | FOREX | Bearish EUR | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.40 | FOREX | Bullish USD | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.35 | COMMODITIES | Bearish Gold | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Watch | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Car Production MoM (United States) was reported at -7.7% in January 2025. This missed the market consensus of -5% by 2.7%. The reading rose from the previous value of -19.5%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with S&P 500 (Bullish Stocks). A secondary relationship exists with EUR/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish EUR).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include NY Empire State Manufacturing Index (Jun 15) and Industrial Production MoM (Jun 15).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update February 2025.
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Car Production MoM - US
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About Car Production MoM — United States
DEFINITION
Car Production MoM is a financial indicator that measures the month-over-month change in the total number of cars produced by a country's automotive industry. This indicator provides valuable insights into the health and growth of the automotive sector, which is a key driver of economic activity and employment. It is closely monitored by investors, policymakers, and industry analysts as a barometer of overall economic performance and consumer demand. A positive trend in Car Production MoM indicates a strong and expanding automotive industry, while a negative trend may signal a slowdown or contraction in the sector.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT'S NEXT
This indicator correlates most strongly with S&P 500 (Bullish Stocks, r=0.50) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.