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US Manufacturing Sales MoM fell to 0.3% in January 2025, released February 2025, down 0.4% from December's 0.7% reading. The reading missed the 0.7% consensus by 0.4%.
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.50 | INDEX | Bullish Stocks | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.45 | FOREX | Bearish EUR | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.40 | FOREX | Bullish USD | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.35 | COMMODITIES | Bearish Gold | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Watch | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
Manufacturing Sales MoM (United States) was reported at 0.3% in January 2025. This missed the market consensus of 0.7% by 0.4%. The reading fell from the previous value of 0.7%.
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with S&P 500 (Bullish Stocks). A secondary relationship exists with EUR/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish EUR).
Same-country events in the next 14 days include OPEC Monthly Report (Jun 11) and Core PPI MoM (Jun 11).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update February 2025.
Manufacturing Sales MoM (Month-over-Month) is a key economic indicator that measures the change in the total value of sales made by manufacturers in a given month compared to the previous month. This indicator provides valuable insights into the health and performance of the manufacturing sector, which is a crucial component of a country's overall economic growth. A positive trend in Manufacturing Sales MoM indicates an increase in consumer demand and economic activity, while a negative trend may signal a slowdown in the economy. As such, this indicator is closely monitored by investors, policymakers, and businesses to make informed decisions and forecasts.
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
This indicator correlates most strongly with S&P 500 (Bullish Stocks, r=0.50) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.
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| Wednesday, June 10, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12:30 | Core Inflation Rate MoM | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.25 | High | |
| 12:30 | CPI | 335.12 | 333.02 | 335.11 | 335.12 | Medium | |
| 12:30 | CPI s.a | 333.979 | 332.407 | 333.7 | 333.84 | Medium | |
| 12:30 | Core Inflation Rate YoY | 2.9 | 2.8 | 2.9 | 2.90 | High | |
| 12:30 | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.50 | High | |
| 12:30 | Inflation Rate YoY | 4.2 | 3.8 | 4.2 | 4.20 | High | |
| 12:30 | CPI YoY | 4.2 | 3.8 | 4.2 | 4.20 | High | |
| 12:30 | CPI MoM | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.25 | High | |
| 14:30 | EIA Distillate Stocks Change | -0.2 | 1.502 | -0.5 | -0.35 | Low | |
| 14:30 | EIA Gasoline Stocks Change | 0.186 | 3.364 | -0.5 | -0.16 | Medium | |
| 14:30 | EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change | -7.228 | -7.974 | -4 | -5.61 | Medium | |
| 18:00 | Monthly Budget Statement | -293 | 215 | -275 | -284.00 | Medium | |
| 18:00 | Budget Balance | -293 | 215 | -282.9 | -287.95 | Medium | |
| Thursday, June 11, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:30 | Core PPI MoM | 1 | 0.5 | 0.50 | Medium | ||
| 12:30 | Producer Price Index YoY | 6 | 6.4 | 6.40 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | Initial Jobless Claims | 225 | 219 | 219.00 | Medium | ||
| 12:30 | Continuing Jobless Claims | 1777 | 1780 | 1780.00 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | Producer Price Index MoM | 1.4 | 0.7 | 0.70 | High | ||
| 12:30 | Core PPI YoY | 5.2 | 5.4 | 5.40 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | Jobless Claims 4-Week Average | 214.75 | 216.5 | 216.50 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | Producer Price Index | 156.496 | 157.5 | 157.50 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | PPI Ex Food, Energy and Trade YoY | 4.4 | 4.4 | 4.40 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | PPI Ex Food, Energy and Trade MoM | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.30 | Low | ||
| 14:30 | EIA Natural Gas Stocks Change | 95 | 101 | 101.00 | Low | ||
| Friday, June 12, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 14:00 | Michigan Current Conditions | 45.8 | 46.2 | 47.65 | Low | ||
| 14:00 | Michigan Inflation Expectations | 4.8 | 4.8 | 4.80 | Low | ||
| 14:00 | Michigan 5 Year Inflation Expectations | 3.9 | 3.8 | 3.80 | Low | ||
| 14:00 | Michigan Consumer Expectations | 44.1 | 44.3 | 44.10 | Low | ||
| 14:00 | Michigan Consumer Sentiment | 44.8 | 46 | 46.25 | High | ||
| Monday, June 15, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:30 | NY Empire State Manufacturing Index | 19.6 | 9 | 7.30 | Medium | ||
| 13:15 | Industrial Production MoM | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.55 | Medium | ||
| 13:15 | Capacity Utilization | 76.1 | 76 | 76.05 | Low | ||
| 13:15 | Industrial Production YoY | 1.4 | 1.9 | 1.55 | Low | ||
| 13:15 | Manufacturing Production MoM | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.35 | Low | ||
| 13:15 | Manufacturing Production YoY | 1.3 | 1.7 | 1.35 | Low | ||
| 14:00 | NAHB Housing Market Index | 37 | 36 | 36.50 | Medium | ||