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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
United StatesUS EIA Gasoline Production Change climbed to 0.3 in May 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased June 2026
US EIA Gasoline Production Change climbed to 0.3 in May 2026, released June 2026, up 0.81 from April's -0.52 reading.
Latest Release
0.296000
Actual
—
Consensus
-0.515000
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AAPL | ▼ Inverse | −0.27 | STOCKS | Bearish AAPL | → View |
| NZD/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.26 | FOREX | Bullish NZD | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
EIA Gasoline Production Change (United States) was reported at 0.30 in June 2026. The reading rose from the previous value of -0.52. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through June 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 0.02, ranging from -0.82 to 0.79 across 45 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 0.13, up from the prior three at -0.13. Volatility over the past year (σ 0.37) is lower than the prior year (σ 0.42). In June readings over the past 3 years, EIA Gasoline Production Change has averaged 0.00.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for June 17, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include MBA 30-Year Mortgage Rate (Jun 17) and Retail Sales MoM (Jun 17).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update June 2026.
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EIA Gasoline Production Change - US
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About EIA Gasoline Production Change — United States
DEFINITION
The EIA Gasoline Production Change is a key financial indicator that measures the monthly change in the production of gasoline in the United States. This data is released by the Energy Information Administration (EIA) and is used by investors, analysts, and policymakers to track the health of the gasoline industry and its impact on the overall economy. It provides valuable insights into the supply and demand dynamics of the gasoline market and can help inform strategic decision-making in the energy sector.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Energy-supply and inventory data shape commodity-curve positioning and feed through to headline inflation and consumer-discretionary spending. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jun 2026): actual 0.296 M. Prior reading (Jun 2026): -0.515 M. Before that (May 2026): 0.6 M.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection.