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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
United StatesUS Machine Tool Orders YoY fell to 4.7% in January 2025
FMPMonthlyReleased February 2025
US Machine Tool Orders YoY fell to 4.7% in January 2025, released February 2025, down 6.5% from December's 11.2% reading. The print exceeded the 1.6% consensus by 3.1%.
Latest Release
4.700000
Actual
1.600000
Consensus
11.200000
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.50 | INDEX | Bullish Stocks | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.45 | FOREX | Bearish EUR | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.40 | FOREX | Bullish USD | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.35 | COMMODITIES | Bearish Gold | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Watch | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Machine Tool Orders YoY (United States) was reported at 4.7% in January 2025. This beat the market consensus of 1.6% by 3.1%. The reading fell from the previous value of 11.2%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with S&P 500 (Bullish Stocks). A secondary relationship exists with EUR/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish EUR).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include OPEC Monthly Report (Jun 11) and Core PPI MoM (Jun 11).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update February 2025.
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Machine Tool Orders YoY - US
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About Machine Tool Orders YoY — United States
DEFINITION
Machine Tool Orders YoY (Year over Year) is a financial indicator that measures the change in the number of orders placed for machine tools compared to the same period in the previous year. This indicator is used to assess the demand for machine tools, which are essential for manufacturing and production industries. A positive YoY growth in machine tool orders indicates a strong and growing economy, while a negative YoY growth may suggest a slowdown in manufacturing activity. This information can be valuable for investors, businesses, and policymakers in making informed decisions about the state of the economy.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT'S NEXT
This indicator correlates most strongly with S&P 500 (Bullish Stocks, r=0.50) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.