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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
United StatesUS EIA Distillate Fuel Production Change fell to 0.02 in May 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased June 2026
US EIA Distillate Fuel Production Change fell to 0.02 in May 2026, released June 2026, down 0.07 from April's 0.1 reading.
Latest Release
0.024000
Actual
—
Consensus
0.098000
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.50 | INDEX | Bullish Stocks | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.45 | FOREX | Bearish EUR | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.40 | FOREX | Bullish USD | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.35 | COMMODITIES | Bearish Gold | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Watch | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
EIA Distillate Fuel Production Change (United States) was reported at 0.02 in June 2026. The reading fell from the previous value of 0.10. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through June 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 0.01, ranging from -0.58 to 0.38 across 45 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 0.07, up from the prior three at 0.03. Volatility over the past year (σ 0.17) is lower than the prior year (σ 0.19). In June readings over the past 3 years, EIA Distillate Fuel Production Change has averaged -0.04.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with S&P 500 (Bullish Stocks). A secondary relationship exists with EUR/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish EUR).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for June 17, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include NY Empire State Manufacturing Index (Jun 15) and Industrial Production MoM (Jun 15).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update June 2026.
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EIA Distillate Fuel Production Change - US
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About EIA Distillate Fuel Production Change — United States
DEFINITION
The EIA Distillate Fuel Production Change is a key financial indicator that measures the month-to-month change in the production of distillate fuels, such as diesel and heating oil. This indicator provides valuable insights into the overall health and trends of the energy industry, as distillate fuels are widely used in transportation and heating sectors. Investors and analysts rely on this indicator to assess the current and future demand for distillate fuels, and make informed decisions in the energy market.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Energy-supply and inventory data shape commodity-curve positioning and feed through to headline inflation and consumer-discretionary spending. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jun 2026): actual 0.024 M. Prior reading (Jun 2026): 0.098 M. Before that (May 2026): 0.076 M.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially lower reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with S&P 500 (Bullish Stocks, r=0.50) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.