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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
United StatesUS Manufacturing PMI climbed to 59 in January 2025
FMPMonthlyReleased February 2025
US Manufacturing PMI climbed to 59 in January 2025, released February 2025, up 1.8 from December's 57.2 reading. The reading matched the 58 consensus.
Latest Release
59.000000
Actual
58.000000
Consensus
57.200000
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.50 | INDEX | Bullish Stocks | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.45 | FOREX | Bearish EUR | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.40 | FOREX | Bullish USD | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.35 | COMMODITIES | Bearish Gold | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Watch | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Manufacturing PMI (United States) was reported at 59.00 in January 2025. This beat the market consensus of 58.00 by 1.00. The reading rose from the previous value of 57.20.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with S&P 500 (Bullish Stocks). A secondary relationship exists with EUR/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish EUR).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include NY Empire State Manufacturing Index (Jun 15) and Industrial Production MoM (Jun 15).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update February 2025.
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Manufacturing PMI - US
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About Manufacturing PMI — United States
DEFINITION
Manufacturing PMI (Purchasing Managers' Index) is a key economic indicator that measures the health of the manufacturing sector in a country. It is based on a monthly survey of purchasing managers from various industries, providing valuable insights into production levels, new orders, employment, and supplier deliveries. A PMI reading above 50 indicates expansion in the manufacturing sector, while a reading below 50 suggests contraction. This widely followed indicator is used by investors, businesses, and policymakers to assess the overall economic performance and make informed decisions.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Sentiment surveys are forward-looking inputs that often lead hard data on output and hiring. Sharp swings can drive cross-asset repricing. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT'S NEXT
This indicator correlates most strongly with S&P 500 (Bullish Stocks, r=0.50) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.