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US Core Durable Goods Orders held to 1.3% in May 2013. The print exceeded the 0.5% consensus by 0.8%.
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.50 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.45 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.40 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.35 | COMMODITIES | Moves against | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
Core Durable Goods Orders (United States) was reported at 1.3% in May 2013. This beat the market consensus of 0.5% by 0.8%. This is classified as a medium-impact indicator released on a monthly basis.
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with S&P 500 (Bullish Stocks). A secondary relationship exists with EUR/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish EUR).
Same-country events in the next 14 days include Initial Jobless Claims (Sep 10) and Core PPI MoM (Sep 10).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update May 2013.
Core Durable Goods Orders is a key economic indicator that measures the total value of new orders for long-lasting goods, excluding volatile transportation equipment. This indicator provides insight into the strength of the manufacturing sector and overall economic growth, as durable goods are typically expensive and require long-term investment. It is closely monitored by investors, policymakers, and analysts as it can signal changes in consumer and business spending patterns. A higher Core Durable Goods Orders figure is generally seen as a positive sign for the economy, while a decline may indicate a slowdown in economic activity.
Manufacturing and factory-order series capture cyclical inflection earlier than aggregate output, and have outsized influence on industrial-sector equities. Surprises against consensus can drive short-term moves, particularly when the print breaks an established trend. Released monthly.
Latest reading (May 2013): actual 1.3 %, consensus 0.5 %.
This indicator correlates most strongly with S&P 500 (Bullish Stocks, r=0.50) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.
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| Wednesday, September 9, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21:00 | API Crude Oil Stock Change | -0.3 | -2.6 | -1.3 | -0.80 | Medium | |
| Thursday, September 10, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 14:00 | Existing Home Sales | 4.06 | 3.98 | 3.98 | High | ||
| 14:00 | Existing Home Sales MoM | -1.7 | -0.2 | -0.20 | Medium | ||
| 14:30 | EIA Natural Gas Stocks Change | 30 | 35 | 38.50 | Low | ||
| 16:00 | EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change | -4.45 | -1.4 | -1.40 | Medium | ||
| Friday, September 11, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:30 | CPI s.a | 332.81 | 334.14 | 334.14 | Medium | ||
| 12:30 | Inflation Rate YoY | 3.4 | 3.4 | 3.40 | High | ||
| 12:30 | Core Inflation Rate MoM | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.20 | High | ||
| 12:30 | Core Inflation Rate YoY | 2.5 | 2.4 | 2.40 | High | ||
| 12:30 | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.40 | High | ||
| 12:30 | CPI | 333.92 | 334.85 | 334.85 | Medium | ||
| 14:00 | Michigan Current Conditions | 51.9 | 51.3 | 52.40 | Low | ||
| 14:00 | Michigan Consumer Expectations | 51.5 | 50.5 | 53.00 | Low | ||
| 14:00 | Michigan 5 Year Inflation Expectations | 3.3 | 3.2 | 3.00 | Low | ||
| 14:00 | Michigan Consumer Sentiment | 51.7 | 51 | 52.45 | High | ||
| 14:00 | Michigan Inflation Expectations | 4 | 3.9 | 3.80 | Low | ||
| 18:00 | Monthly Budget Statement | -432 | -480 | -480.00 | Medium | ||
| 18:00 | Budget Balance | -432 | -202.5 | -202.50 | Medium | ||