Loading page content
Loading page content
US Durable Goods Orders held to 339,392 Millions USD in June 2026, released July 2026.
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.42 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| AAPL | ▼ Inverse | −0.40 | STOCKS | Moves against | → View |
| USD/CAD | ▼ Inverse | −0.27 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
Durable Goods Orders (United States) was reported at 339,392.00 Millions USD in June 2026. The reading was unchanged from the previous release. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 326,620.70 Millions USD, ranging from 307,570.00 Millions USD to 347,618.00 Millions USD across 10 releases. This is classified as a high-impact indicator released on a monthly basis.
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 336,250.33 Millions USD, up from the prior three at 328,118.00 Millions USD. Volatility over the past year (σ 11,500.02 Millions USD) is lower than the prior year (σ 15,450.10 Millions USD). In July readings over the past 3 years, Durable Goods Orders has averaged 311,886.00 Millions USD.
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with USD/JPY (Bullish USD). A secondary relationship exists with AAPL, negatively correlated (Bearish AAPL).
Same-country events in the next 14 days include Net Long-Term TIC Flows (Sep 16) and Housing Starts MoM (Sep 17).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update July 2026.
US Durable Goods Orders rose to 339,250 million USD in July, up from June’s 335,653 million USD, marking a steady increase. The data shows continued growth in new orders after June’s rebound, reflecting ongoing demand in the manufacturing sector. Market participants will watch upcoming inflation reports and Fed communications for further guidance. Updated 8/27/26
Manufacturing and factory-order series capture cyclical inflection earlier than aggregate output, and have outsized influence on industrial-sector equities. Surprises against consensus typically move rates and currencies on release. Released monthly.
Latest reading (Jul 2026): actual 339,392 Millions USD. Prior reading (Jun 2026): 335,653 Millions USD. Before that (May 2026): 333,706 Millions USD.
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with USD/JPY (Bullish USD, r=0.42) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.
Multi-horizon symbol forecasts, Rolling-Surprise economic predictions, and programmatic API access.
Expected Zones · Trade Bias · Confidence Intervals · API Access · 1,456+ instruments
| Tuesday, September 15, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12:30 | NY Empire State Manufacturing Index | 7.6 | 20.6 | 14.75 | 11.18 | High | |
| 20:30 | API Crude Oil Stock Change | 7.14 | -0.3 | -1.8 | 2.67 | Medium | |
| 21:00 | API Crude Oil Stock Change | 7.14 | -0.3 | -1.8 | 2.67 | Medium | |
| Wednesday, September 16, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:30 | Retail Sales MoM | 1.2 | -0.5 | 0.8 | 1.00 | High | |
| 12:30 | Retail Sales Ex Autos MoM | 1.4 | -0.2 | 0.5 | 0.80 | High | |
| 12:30 | Import Prices YoY | 7 | 6.1 | 6.4 | 6.70 | Low | |
| 12:30 | Retail Sales Ex Gas/Autos MoM | 1.2 | -0.3 | 0.2 | 0.45 | High | |
| 12:30 | Retail Sales YoY | 6 | 5.03 | 4.7 | 5.75 | High | |
| 12:30 | Export Prices MoM | 0.6 | -1.4 | 0.5 | 0.55 | Medium | |
| 12:30 | Import Prices MoM | 0.7 | -0.3 | 0.4 | 0.55 | Medium | |
| 12:30 | Export Prices YoY | 8.6 | 8.1 | 8.5 | 8.55 | Low | |
| 14:00 | Business Inventories MoM | 0.8 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.42 | Medium | |
| 14:00 | NAHB Housing Market Index | 32 | 35 | 34 | 33.00 | Medium | |
| 14:00 | Retail Inventories Ex Autos MoM | 0.8 | -0.5 | 0.7 | 0.72 | Low | |
| 14:30 | EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change | -0.64 | -0.391 | -1.6 | -2.28 | Medium | |
| 14:30 | EIA Gasoline Stocks Change | 0.794 | 1.269 | -1 | -0.53 | Medium | |
| 14:30 | EIA Distillate Stocks Change | 1.585 | 2.087 | 0.1 | 0.83 | Low | |
| 16:00 | Atlanta Fed GDPNow | 5.1 | 4.4 | 4.4 | 4.63 | Medium | |
| 18:00 | Fed Interest Rate Decision | 4 | 3.75 | 4 | 4.00 | High | |