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US Durable Goods Orders held to 334,772 Millions USD in May 2026, released June 2026.
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AAPL | ▼ Inverse | −0.52 | STOCKS | Moves against | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.43 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| MSFT | ▲ Direct | +0.33 | STOCKS | Moves with | → View |
| USD/CAD | ▼ Inverse | −0.27 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
Durable Goods Orders (United States) was reported at 334,772.00 Millions USD in May 2026. The reading was unchanged from the previous release. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 324,008.10 Millions USD, ranging from 307,570.00 Millions USD to 347,618.00 Millions USD across 10 releases. This is classified as a high-impact indicator released on a monthly basis.
The trailing three releases averaged 338,698.67 Millions USD, up from the prior three at 318,873.67 Millions USD. Volatility over the past year (σ 11,097.73 Millions USD) is lower than the prior year (σ 15,483.20 Millions USD). In June readings over the past 3 years, Durable Goods Orders has averaged 309,220.33 Millions USD.
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with AAPL (Bearish AAPL). A secondary relationship exists with USD/JPY, positively correlated (Bullish USD).
Same-country events in the next 14 days include ISM Manufacturing PMI (Aug 3) and ISM Manufacturing Employment (Aug 3).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update June 2026.
US Durable Goods Orders for May came in at 332,050 million, down from April’s 347,618 million, marking a decline in new orders. The decrease from April to May indicates a contraction in durable goods demand after a strong prior month. Market participants will watch upcoming manufacturing data and Federal Reserve signals for further economic direction. Updated 6/26/26
Manufacturing and factory-order series capture cyclical inflection earlier than aggregate output, and have outsized influence on industrial-sector equities. Surprises against consensus typically move rates and currencies on release. Released monthly.
Latest reading (Jun 2026): actual 334,772 Millions USD. Prior reading (May 2026): 333,706 Millions USD. Before that (Apr 2026): 347,618 Millions USD.
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with AAPL (Bearish AAPL, r=-0.52) — a useful reference for stocks-focused traders.
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| Monday, August 3, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14:00 | ISM Manufacturing PMI | 53.3 | 54 | 54.00 | High | ||
| 14:00 | ISM Manufacturing Employment | 49.7 | 49.8 | 49.80 | Medium | ||
| 14:00 | Construction Spending MoM | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.20 | Low | ||
| 14:00 | ISM Manufacturing Prices | 73 | 70 | 70.00 | Low | ||
| 14:00 | ISM Manufacturing New Orders | 56 | 55.4 | 55.40 | Low | ||
| Tuesday, August 4, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:30 | Balance of Trade | -77.6 | -73 | -72.70 | Medium | ||
| 12:30 | Exports | 317.7 | 312 | 312.90 | Medium | ||
| 12:30 | Imports | 395.3 | 385 | 385.35 | Medium | ||
| 14:00 | Factory Orders MoM | -1.3 | 0.5 | 1.00 | Medium | ||
| 14:00 | JOLTs Job Quits | 3.065 | 3.05 | 3.16 | Low | ||
| 14:00 | Economic Optimism Index | 45.5 | 47.5 | 47.80 | Low | ||
| 14:00 | JOLTs Job Openings | 7.594 | 7.25 | 7.26 | High | ||
| 14:00 | Factory Orders ex Transportation | 1.9 | 0.5 | 0.95 | Low | ||
| Wednesday, August 5, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:15 | ADP Employment Change | 98 | 75 | 75.00 | Medium | ||
| 14:00 | ISM Services Business Activity | 55.4 | 56 | 57.20 | Low | ||
| 14:00 | ISM Services PMI | 54 | 54.2 | 54.15 | High | ||
| 14:00 | ISM Services Employment | 51.2 | 52 | 53.50 | Low | ||
| 14:00 | ISM Services New Orders | 55.1 | 55.3 | 52.05 | Low | ||
| 14:00 | ISM Services Prices | 67.7 | 66.2 | 66.05 | Low | ||
| 14:00 | ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI | 54 | 54.2 | 54.15 | High | ||
| Thursday, August 6, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 09:30 | Challenger Job Cuts | 45.849 | 59 | 59.00 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | Initial Jobless Claims | 197 | 200 | 200.00 | Medium | ||
| 12:30 | Jobless Claims 4-Week Average | 202.75 | 198 | 198.00 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | Continuing Jobless Claims | 1782 | 1798 | 1798.00 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | Unit Labour Costs QoQ | 1.8 | 2.7 | 2.70 | Medium | ||
| 12:30 | Nonfarm Productivity QoQ | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0.70 | Medium | ||